St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: match statistics
St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St Patrick's Athl. played Waterford in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 28 August 2026. Venue: Richmond Park. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
St Patrick's Athl.: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Waterford: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
St Patrick's Athl. scores 1.61 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Waterford scores 1.32 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St Patrick's Athl. 43%, Waterford 57%. Over 2.5: St Patrick's Athl. 36%, Waterford 46%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
St Patrick's Athl. has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.41. St Patrick's Athl.: 17.6 shots per match, Waterford: 13.0.
Match halves
St Patrick's Athl.: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.86. Waterford: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
St Patrick's Athl.: 76-90+ (10 goals). Waterford: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 7 previous H2H matches were available: 4-3-0. Average goals 2.86, BTTS 71%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St Patrick's Athl. sit 2nd, while Waterford are 8th, with the hosts winning 14 of their 28 league matches compared to the visitors’ 6 victories. At home, St Patrick's average 2.07 goals with an xG of 2.18, whereas Waterford concede as many as 2.29 goals per away game and allow chances worth an average of 2.11 xG. The hosts average 20.29 shots and 6.86 shots on target per home match, clearly outperforming the visitors’ 13.57 shots and 3.57 on target. Both teams are unbeaten in their last five matches and have collected 11 points each during that period, but Waterford have won only 14% of their away matches, compared to St Patrick's 64% at home. The hosts’ solid defence, conceding just 0.57 goals per home game, should contain a team that fail to score in 43% of their away appearances.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The season-long rate of matches featuring goals from both teams stands at 57% for both St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford, only slightly below the league average of 60%. The hosts score an average of 1.36 goals, while Waterford concede as many as 2.29 per match, with the visitors keeping a clean sheet in just 14% of games—strongly supporting a St Patrick's goal. Waterford’s attacking xG is simultaneously 1.43, higher than the hosts’ 1.40, while the St Patrick's defence allows an average xG of 1.83. Caution is warranted due to Waterford’s last five matches, in which the team conceded just 0.4 goals per game and BTTS occurred in 40% of fixtures; however, their attacking potential should be enough to score once. Therefore, the scenario in which both teams score is slightly more likely than BTTS No, meaning that at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The Over 1.5 goals line has landed in 79% of both teams’ matches, providing an exceptionally consistent signal for at least two goals. St Patrick’s averages 1.36 goals per match, while Waterford concedes as many as 2.29, giving the hosts the potential to score around 1.72 goals. The visitors create chances worth an average of 1.43 xG, while St Patrick’s defence allows opponents 1.83 xG, supporting their chances of finding the net. St Patrick’s have scored 9 goals in their last five matches, and the league average stands at 2.74 goals, making Over 1.5 the strongest and most stable selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time and a St Patrick's win at full-time, as Waterford were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches and in 36% of their games this season. After the interval, the hosts score an average of 0.86 goals and concede just 0.50, while Waterford concede as many as 1.36 goals per match in second halves. St Patrick's win the second half in 50% of their matches and average 1.71 points in those periods, compared with just 14% of second-half wins and 0.71 points for Waterford. The hosts' advantage is further reinforced by the visitors' season-long defensive record, with Waterford conceding an average of 2.29 goals per match compared with 1.14 for St Patrick's. However, both teams are in good current form, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, which is why the half-time draw remains more credible than the hosts taking an early lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St Patrick's Athl. | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St Patrick's Athl. is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.61 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.32 goals / match - Waterford
St Patrick's Athl. is 109% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.71 goals / match - Waterford
St Patrick's Athl. scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
Waterford scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while St Patrick's Athl. keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St Patrick's Athl.
Over / Under - Waterford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St Patrick's Athl. is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.54 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl. · 1.07 pts / match - Waterford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St Patrick's Athl. - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Waterford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| St Patrick's Athl. | Liga | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 51% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (7): St Patrick's Athl. 4 - 3 - 0 Waterford. Average goals 2.86, both teams scored in 71% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
The Premier Division match finished St Patrick's Athl. 0:2 Waterford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford?
In the last 7 head-to-head matches St Patrick's Athl. won 4, Waterford won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.86 goals, with both teams scoring in 71% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
St Patrick's Athl. score 1.61 goals per game on average and Waterford 1.32. The Premier Division average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of St Patrick's Athl.'s matches and 57% of Waterford's.
What form are St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford in?
Over the last 5 games St Patrick's Athl. have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Waterford 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.