St. Pauli vs Freiburg: match statistics
Freiburg appears to be the favorite in this match despite their poor away form. St. Pauli occupies a very low 16th place in the table and has a negative goal difference (-5) at home, with as many as 42% of their home matches ending in a clean sheet against them. Freiburg, although conceding an average of 2.08 goals away, possesses better offensive metrics (averaging 1 goal per away match compared to St. Pauli's 1.08 at home) and a higher average xG (1.17 vs 1.33 for the hosts, but against the opponent's significantly weaker defense). The recent form of both teams is poor; however, Freiburg, in 8th place in the standings and with greater experience, should exploit St. Pauli's defensive issues, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match at home. I expect a difficult but favorable outcome for the visitors.
St. Pauli vs Freiburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Pauli played Freiburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
St. Pauli: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Freiburg: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Pauli scores 0.88 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Freiburg scores 1.42 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Pauli 50%, Freiburg 58%. Over 2.5: St. Pauli 54%, Freiburg 62%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Freiburg has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.21. St. Pauli: 10.3 shots per match, Freiburg: 12.7.
Match halves
St. Pauli: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.54. Freiburg: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
St. Pauli: 31-45+ (7 goals). Freiburg: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Freiburg appears to be the favorite in this match despite their poor away form. St. Pauli occupies a very low 16th place in the table and has a negative goal difference (-5) at home, with as many as 42% of their home matches ending in a clean sheet against them. Freiburg, although conceding an average of 2.08 goals away, possesses better offensive metrics (averaging 1 goal per away match compared to St. Pauli's 1.08 at home) and a higher average xG (1.17 vs 1.33 for the hosts, but against the opponent's significantly weaker defense). The recent form of both teams is poor; however, Freiburg, in 8th place in the standings and with greater experience, should exploit St. Pauli's defensive issues, having conceded an average of 1.5 goals per match at home. I expect a difficult but favorable outcome for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Pauli | Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St. Pauli is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - St. Pauli · 0.8 pts / match - Freiburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Freiburg is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - St. Pauli · 1.42 goals / match - Freiburg
St. Pauli scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
Freiburg scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Pauli
Over / Under - Freiburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Freiburg is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - St. Pauli · 1.31 pts / match - Freiburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Pauli
Freiburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| St. Pauli | Liga | Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 3.17 | • 3.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | • 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 62% | • 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 23% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 76% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 84% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: St. Pauli 0 - 0 - 1 Freiburg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Pauli vs Freiburg?
The Bundesliga match finished St. Pauli 1:2 Freiburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Pauli vs Freiburg?
St. Pauli score 0.88 goals per game on average and Freiburg 1.42. The Bundesliga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 50% of St. Pauli's matches and 58% of Freiburg's.
What form are St. Pauli and Freiburg in?
Over the last 5 games St. Pauli have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Freiburg 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Pauli vs Freiburg?
The statistical background for St. Pauli vs Freiburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.