St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC: match statistics
St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Pauli played Karlsruher SC in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Millerntor-Stadion. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
St. Pauli: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Karlsruher SC: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Pauli scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Karlsruher SC scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Pauli 83%, Karlsruher SC 50%. Over 2.5: St. Pauli 50%, Karlsruher SC 67%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Karlsruher SC has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.59. St. Pauli: 14.2 shots per match, Karlsruher SC: 17.5.
Match halves
St. Pauli: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83. Karlsruher SC: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
St. Pauli: 31-45+ (2 goals). Karlsruher SC: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St. Pauli have the edge in results over their last five matches, collecting 6 points compared with Karlsruher SC’s 4, while the visitors have lost 3 games. The hosts conceded 6 goals during this period, whereas the visitors shipped 12, which tilts the balance in St. Pauli’s favor despite their modest return of just one win in five matches. At home, St. Pauli average 19 shots and generate an xG of 2.03, but score only 1 goal per game, so finishing remains a weakness. Karlsruher SC also create chances, with an away xG of 1.92, and have drawn both of their matches on the road so far. The hosts’ defensive advantage and stronger recent results support backing them to win, although the visitors’ run of away draws means a share of the points remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of St. Pauli’s games and 60% of Karlsruher SC’s, supporting a BTTS - Yes pick. The visitors conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match during this period, while the hosts scored 1.2, giving St. Pauli a solid chance of finding the net. Karlsruher SC, meanwhile, averages 1.92 xG, while their opponents allow chances worth 1.99 xG, increasing the likelihood of an away goal. Caution is warranted because season data shows that both teams failed to score in 50% of their matches. However, their recent BTTS record and the number of chances they create tip the assessment towards Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Over 1.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 75% of St. Pauli’s matches, compared with just 50% for Karlsruher SC, so the forecast accounts for some uncertainty. The home side concede an average of 2.5 goals, while their opponents create chances worth an average of 1.92 xG, increasing the likelihood of goals for the visitors. Meanwhile, St. Pauli average 1.83 xG, and Karlsruher SC have conceded 2.4 goals per match over their last five games. With a projected total of 3.14 goals, the 1.5 line has a clearer edge than 2.5, particularly as at least three goals were scored in only 40% of the home side’s last five matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw followed by a St. Pauli win at full-time looks the most likely outcome. The hosts have averaged just 0.2 goals in the first halves of their last five matches and were level at the break in 2 of those 5, so an early lead is difficult to anticipate. Their recent form after the break has been better: they averaged 1.0 goal and won the second half in 3 of 5 matches, while Karlsruher SC have lost 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 2.4 goals in those games. However, this is not a clear-cut pick, as St. Pauli lost 3 of the 4 home matches considered, while Karlsruher SC did not concede after half-time in either of their 2 away matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Pauli | Karlsruher SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St. Pauli is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - St. Pauli · 0.4 pts / match - Karlsruher SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St. Pauli is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - St. Pauli · 1 goals / match - Karlsruher SC
St. Pauli is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - St. Pauli · 2 goals / match - Karlsruher SC
St. Pauli scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Karlsruher SC keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Karlsruher SC scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Pauli
Over / Under - Karlsruher SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St. Pauli is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - St. Pauli · 0.67 pts / match - Karlsruher SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Karlsruher SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Pauli
Karlsruher SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| St. Pauli | Liga | Karlsruher SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 3.28 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 83% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 22% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished St. Pauli 2:0 Karlsruher SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
St. Pauli score 1.33 goals per game on average and Karlsruher SC 1.00. The 2. Bundesliga average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 83% of St. Pauli's matches and 50% of Karlsruher SC's.
What form are St. Pauli and Karlsruher SC in?
Over the last 5 games St. Pauli have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Karlsruher SC 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC?
The statistical background for St. Pauli vs Karlsruher SC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.