St. Pauli vs Nürnberg: match statistics
St. Pauli vs Nürnberg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
St. Pauli played Nürnberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Millerntor-Stadion. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
St. Pauli: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Nürnberg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
St. Pauli scores 1.22 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Nürnberg scores 2.33 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: St. Pauli 67%, Nürnberg 67%. Over 2.5: St. Pauli 33%, Nürnberg 67%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Nürnberg has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.61. St. Pauli: 14.6 shots per match, Nürnberg: 19.0.
Match halves
St. Pauli: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Nürnberg: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.22.
Goals by minute
St. Pauli: 31-45+ (4 goals). Nürnberg: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
St. Pauli have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches and concede an average of just 0.75 goals at home, pointing to a closely contested game. Nürnberg are 2nd in the table, compared with the hosts in 7th, and average 2 goals scored away from home, against St. Pauli’s 1.25 at home. The visitors are also more clinical in front of goal, converting 13% of their shots compared with 7%, although the hosts create slightly better chances: their home xG is 1.91, compared with Nürnberg’s away xG of 1.73. St. Pauli have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, while Nürnberg have drawn 50% of their away games, making a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams regularly feature in matches with goals at both ends: St. Pauli have seen BTTS in 60% of their home games, while Nürnberg have done so in 75% of their away games, compared with a league average of 56%. The hosts score an average of 2.6 goals at home, while the visitors average 2.0 goals away and have yet to draw a blank on the road. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 2.13 for St. Pauli and 1.73 for Nürnberg, while their opponents concede 1.25 and 1.4 goals per game, respectively. However, the hosts’ last five matches warrant caution: they scored just 1.0 goal and conceded 0.6 on average. Even so, both teams had BTTS in 60% of their matches over that period. Therefore, BTTS - Yes is the more likely outcome, although St. Pauli’s improved defending limits confidence in the prediction.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
St. Pauli’s home matches have averaged 4.0 goals, while Nürnberg’s away matches have averaged 3.25, pointing to at least two goals. The hosts record an xG of 2.13 at home, compared with 1.73 for the visitors away; the teams also average 7.4 and 6.0 shots on target, respectively. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 80% of St. Pauli’s home matches and 75% of Nürnberg’s away matches, making it the strongest pick. Caution on higher goal lines is warranted by St. Pauli’s recent form: the team averaged 1.0 goal across five matches, and none of those games featured more than two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nürnberg were level at half-time in 3 of their 4 away matches and had not trailed after 45 minutes in any of them, pointing to a closely contested opening. St. Pauli were level at the break in 2 of 5 home matches, but scored an average of 1.4 goals after the interval, compared with the 0.5 goals conceded by the visitors in second halves away from home. The hosts’ attacking advantage supports a later shift in the result in their favour: at home, they average 2.13 xG and 7.4 shots on target, while Nürnberg record 1.73 xG and 6.0 shots on target away. The visitors are yet to lose on the road, so a draw at full-time remains a significant possibility; however, the combination of frequent half-time draws and St. Pauli’s greater attacking strength provides the strongest indication of an X/1 scenario in the HT/FT market.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| St. Pauli | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St. Pauli is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - St. Pauli · 1.6 pts / match - Nürnberg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nürnberg is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - St. Pauli · 2.33 goals / match - Nürnberg
St. Pauli is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - St. Pauli · 1.33 goals / match - Nürnberg
St. Pauli scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Nürnberg scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while St. Pauli keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - St. Pauli
Over / Under - Nürnberg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nürnberg is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - St. Pauli · 1.56 pts / match - Nürnberg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
St. Pauli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
St. Pauli
Nürnberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| St. Pauli | Liga | Nürnberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 3.01 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of St. Pauli vs Nürnberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished St. Pauli 1:3 Nürnberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before St. Pauli vs Nürnberg?
St. Pauli score 1.22 goals per game on average and Nürnberg 2.33. The 2. Bundesliga average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 67% of St. Pauli's matches and 67% of Nürnberg's.
What form are St. Pauli and Nürnberg in?
Over the last 5 games St. Pauli have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Nürnberg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for St. Pauli vs Nürnberg?
The statistical background for St. Pauli vs Nürnberg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.