St. Pölten vs Austria Wien II: match statistics

St. Pölten are showing a significantly stronger trend: in their last five matches, they recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and just 1 defeat, scoring 6 goals in total. During the same period, Austria Wien II failed to win a single match, registering 1 draw and 4 defeats, with a goal difference of just 3 goals scored and as many as 14 conceded. The hosts have recently conceded an average of only 0.4 goals per match, while the visitors have allowed their opponents 2.8 goals per game, indicating a clear advantage for St. Pölten in defensive organization. The difference in points accumulated over the last five rounds—2.0 points for St. Pölten compared with 0.2 for Austria Wien II—further strengthens the forecast of a home win. Although both teams started the current season with a defeat, their current form and significantly more stable defense support a 1 result.

The stronger scenario is that at least one team fails to score, primarily due to Austria Wien II’s weak attack: they have averaged just 0.6 goals over their last 5 matches. During the same period, St. Pölten conceded only 0.4 goals per game and kept a clean sheet in the season data, which significantly reduces the visitors’ chances of scoring. The BTTS trend also supports the “No” pick, standing at just 20% in the hosts’ last 5 matches and 40% for the visitors. At the same time, St. Pölten average 1.2 goals, while Austria Wien II concede as many as 2.8 goals per match, making a home win to nil more likely than a Goal/Goal outcome.

St. Pölten have averaged 1.2 goals scored over their last five matches, while Austria Wien II have conceded as many as 2.8 goals per game, clearly supporting the home side’s scoring prospects. At the same time, the visitors have scored just 0.6 goals per match during this period, while the hosts have conceded an average of only 0.4, so their attacking contribution should remain limited. The hosts’ potential is further supported by an xG of 1.78 over their last five appearances, compared with 1.19 for Austria Wien II. Although 80% of the visitors’ recent matches have gone Over 2.5 goals, St. Pölten’s low 20% rate of games with both teams scoring points more towards a one-sided result. The projected total of 2.45 goals offers the greatest edge on Under 3.5 goals, as a four-goal scenario would require significantly greater attacking efficiency from the visitors than their current form suggests.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a St. Pölten win, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Austria Wien II were trailing at half-time in 3 of their 5 games. During this period, St. Pölten averaged 1.2 goals scored and conceded just 0.4, whereas the visitors scored 0.6 goals on average and allowed opponents to score 2.8. The hosts won 60% of their last five matches and collected an average of 2.0 points per game, while Austria Wien II failed to win any of theirs, losing 80% of those matches. After the break, the visitors’ defence looks particularly vulnerable: they conceded an average of 1.6 goals and failed to score a single goal in the second halves of their last five appearances. St. Pölten kept a clean sheet after half-time in 80% of those matches, increasing the likelihood that an evenly balanced opening will turn into a home advantage after the interval.