Stabæk vs Egersund: match statistics
Stabæk vs Egersund: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stabæk played Egersund in First Division (Norway). The match was played on 14 June 2026. Venue: Nadderud Stadion. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Stabæk: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Egersund: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stabæk scores 2.20 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Egersund scores 1.30 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stabæk 60%, Egersund 40%. Over 2.5: Stabæk 80%, Egersund 70%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 71%.
xG, shots and style
Stabæk has higher xG: 1.92 vs 1.46. Stabæk: 17.0 shots per match, Egersund: 12.5.
Match halves
Stabæk: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.10. Egersund: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Stabæk: 46-60 (7 goals). Egersund: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.55 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 71%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stabæk holds a clear home advantage: 75% home wins, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match with a +6 goal difference at home; their home xG is 1.97 versus opponents’ xG 1.29. Egersund, by contrast, loses 75% of away matches, concedes 2.25 goals per away game on average and has a -2 away goal difference; in the last 5 fixtures the visitors conceded 13 goals while Stabæk conceded 6. Offensively Stabæk generates more chances — 18.25 shots and 5.75 on target per home match with a 14% conversion — whereas Egersund averages only 11 shots and 4 on target away, though their conversion is 16%. Form supports favoring the hosts: Stabæk scored 8 goals in the last 5 matches and averages 1.6 points per game, while Egersund scored only 3 goals and 0.2 points per game over the same period. Considering the superiority in chance volume, better xG (1.97 vs 1.38) and the visitors’ weaker defense, I predict a Stabæk win; I also expect multiple goals given the average 3.5 goals in Stabæk’s home matches and 4.0 in Egersund’s away fixtures.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict BTTS - Yes because Egersund have 75% of away matches with both teams scoring, while the league average for both teams scoring is 56%. Egersund concede 2.25 goals per match on the season and 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches (13 goals conceded in last 5), significantly increasing Stabæk’s scoring chances. Stabæk at home on the season have only 17% of matches with BTTS and 50% clean sheets, but in the last 5 matches they have averaged 1.6 goals and have xG 2.13, indicating increased recent offensive activity. Additionally, Egersund away have 100% of matches over 2.5 goals on the season and 75% of away matches combine over 2.5 and BTTS, while the league goals average is 3.55 per match. Therefore I assess BTTS probability at 70% (Yes) and 30% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate approximately 3.16 goals in the match: Stabæk ~1.81 and Egersund ~1.35. Stabæk has average xG 1.52 and over the last 5 games xG 2.13, while Egersund concedes on average 2.25 goals this season and has xG against 1.33 — averaging these values yields ~1.81 for the home side. Egersund records xG_for 1.38 and over the last 5 games xG 1.42, while Stabæk concedes on average 1.17 goals and has xG against 1.44, leading to ~1.35 for the visitors. Additionally, the league averages 3.55 goals per game, Egersund has 100% of matches over 2.5 this season and 75% BTTS, and Stabæk in the last 5 has 60% over 2.5 with a goal balance of 8 scored/6 conceded — this strengthens the signal for the over. Based on this, the strongest pick is Over 2.5 with an estimated probability of ~72%; over 1.5 I rate at ~88%, and over 3.5 at ~33%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is 1/1: Stabæk led at the break in 3 of 6 matches (50%) and has a 50% win rate this season, making a lead at the break and maintaining the win the most likely scenario. At half-time Stabæk averages 0.83 goals scored and concedes only 0.33, while Egersund averages 0.5 scored and 1.25 conceded at the break, and the hosts have 83% clean sheets in the first half. Stabæk also has higher xG (1.52 vs 1.38) and more shots (13.5 vs 11.0), which supports first-half control, although Egersund’s finishing is more efficient (16% vs 7%). The risk of a turnaround after the break is real — Egersund averages 1.25 second-half goals and are behind at half-time in 75% of matches — therefore I assigned moderate probability to 1/X (10%) and X/X (13%), while 1/1 received 37% as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stabæk | Egersund | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stabæk is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Stabæk · 0.2 pts / match - Egersund
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stabæk is 69% better for: goals scored per match.
2.2 goals / match - Stabæk · 1.3 goals / match - Egersund
Stabæk is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Stabæk · 1.6 goals / match - Egersund
Stabæk scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Egersund keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
Egersund scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Stabæk keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stabæk
Over / Under - Egersund
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stabæk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Egersund - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stabæk
Egersund
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Stabæk | Liga | Egersund | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.40 | 3.55 | ▼ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 71% | • 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 23% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 79% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 88% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Stabæk 0 - 1 - 1 Egersund. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stabæk vs Egersund?
The First Division match finished Stabæk 3:1 Egersund. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stabæk and Egersund?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 0, Egersund won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stabæk vs Egersund?
Stabæk score 2.20 goals per game on average and Egersund 1.30. The First Division average is 3.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Stabæk's matches and 40% of Egersund's.
What form are Stabæk and Egersund in?
Over the last 5 games Stabæk have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Egersund 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stabæk vs Egersund?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stabæk vs Egersund: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.