Stabæk vs Moss: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Stabæk vs Moss: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stabæk play Moss in First Division (Norway). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Nadderud Stadion.
Current form
Stabæk: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Moss: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stabæk scores 2.65 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Moss scores 1.60 and concedes 2.25. League average: 3.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stabæk 55%, Moss 85%. Over 2.5: Stabæk 75%, Moss 90%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 74%.
xG, shots and style
Stabæk has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.64. Stabæk: 17.1 shots per match, Moss: 13.6.
Match halves
Stabæk: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.55. Moss: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Stabæk: 46-60 (12 goals). Moss: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 3.87 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 74%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 5.33, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stabæk | Moss | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stabæk is 500% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Stabæk · 0.4 pts / match - Moss
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stabæk is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
2.65 goals / match - Stabæk · 1.6 goals / match - Moss
Stabæk is 96% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Stabæk · 2.25 goals / match - Moss
Stabæk scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Moss keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
Moss scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Stabæk keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stabæk
Over / Under - Moss
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stabæk is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Stabæk · 0.9 pts / match - Moss
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stabæk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Moss - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stabæk
Moss
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Stabæk | Liga | Moss | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.80 | 3.87 | • 3.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 63% | ▲ 85% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 90% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 19% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 90% | 89% | • 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Stabæk 0 - 2 - 1 Moss. Average goals 5.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Stabæk and Moss play?
Stabæk face Moss on 5 September 2026 in First Division at Nadderud Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stabæk and Moss?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stabæk won 0, Moss won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 5.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stabæk vs Moss?
Stabæk score 2.65 goals per game on average and Moss 1.60. The First Division average is 3.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 74% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Stabæk's matches and 85% of Moss's.
What form are Stabæk and Moss in?
Over the last 5 games Stabæk have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Moss 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stabæk vs Moss?
The statistical background for Stabæk vs Moss — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


