Stade Briochin vs Paris 13 Atletico: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match between two teams from the lower part of the table, with a draw appearing to be the most likely outcome. Stade Briochin are in 17th place and have poor home form with just 17% of wins at home. However, an advantage in xG (1.43 vs 0.92) and a better conversion rate (9% vs 11% with a significantly higher number of shots) give the hosts a slight edge. Paris 13 Atletico perform even worse away from home with only 9% wins and a high FTS% (36%), confirming their offensive struggles on the road. Both teams have an identical points tally in their last 5 matches (1 PPG) and similar recent form, which further supports a share of the points. The negative goal difference of both sides in their respective categories and Paris 13's high percentage of draws away (36%) suggest the match will end in a draw, likely with few goals.
Stade Briochin vs Paris 13 Atletico: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stade Briochin played Paris 13 Atletico in National (France). The match was played on 27 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Stade Briochin: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Paris 13 Atletico: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stade Briochin scores 1.04 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Paris 13 Atletico scores 0.92 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stade Briochin 68%, Paris 13 Atletico 52%. Over 2.5: Stade Briochin 56%, Paris 13 Atletico 40%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Stade Briochin has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.15. Stade Briochin: 9.9 shots per match, Paris 13 Atletico: 8.6.
Match halves
Stade Briochin: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48. Paris 13 Atletico: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Stade Briochin: 76-90+ (8 goals). Paris 13 Atletico: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match between two teams from the lower part of the table, with a draw appearing to be the most likely outcome. Stade Briochin are in 17th place and have poor home form with just 17% of wins at home. However, an advantage in xG (1.43 vs 0.92) and a better conversion rate (9% vs 11% with a significantly higher number of shots) give the hosts a slight edge. Paris 13 Atletico perform even worse away from home with only 9% wins and a high FTS% (36%), confirming their offensive struggles on the road. Both teams have an identical points tally in their last 5 matches (1 PPG) and similar recent form, which further supports a share of the points. The negative goal difference of both sides in their respective categories and Paris 13's high percentage of draws away (36%) suggest the match will end in a draw, likely with few goals.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stade Briochin has solid grounds to score: 1.07 goals and 1.33 xG per match against the weak defense of Paris 13 Atletico (1.45 conceded and 1.80 xG against), and also a very low clean sheet percentage for the visitors (18%). The key uncertainty is a goal from Paris 13 Atletico, as their attack is below average (0.73 goals and 0.92 xG), while also frequently failing to score (FTS 36%). On the other hand, Briochin has clearly worsened defensively in their last 5 matches (1.6 conceded and 1.91 xG against), which raises the visitors' chances for a goal despite their weaker scoring form (0.6 goals in L5). Seasonally, both teams have BTTS rates close to the league average (Briochin 50%, Paris 13 55%, league 54%), supporting the scenario with goals from both sides. The sum of signals gives a slight edge to BTTS 'yes', but with a noticeable risk that the visitors fail to score again.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The goal-scoring model based on xG and goal averages indicates approx. 2.44 goals in the match (1.42 home vs 1.02 away), around the league average of 2.4. Paris 13 Atletico are offensively weak (xG for 0.92, 6.73 shots and only 2.09 on target per match), which limits the match's goal ceiling. On the other hand, Stade Briochin have a solid foundation to score (xG for 1.33 and 4.0 on target), and their opponent often concedes (1.45 goals and xG against 1.8), supporting a scenario for at least 2 goals. However, historical lines suggest a moderate number of high scores: over 3.5 is 29% for the home side and only 9% for the away side, with under 3.5 at 71% and 91% respectively. The 'high-scoring' metrics are also low (over 4.5: 7–9%; 3+ goals on the offensive side practically non-existent), therefore the most reliable signal is Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for the half-time result is a draw, as both teams very often draw at HT (Stade Briochin 50%, Paris 13 Atletico 45%), while simultaneously having low goal production in the first half (0.36 and 0.18 goals scored per HT). After the break, the advantage in quality and stability lies with the hosts: higher PPG (1.43 vs 0.64), a significantly higher win percentage (36% vs 9%), and better offensive metrics (xG 1.33 vs 0.92, shots on target 4.0 vs 2.09). Paris 13 Atletico has a distinctly weaker defense this season (1.45 goals conceded/match and xGA 1.8), which increases the chances of the hosts 'pushing through' the match after halftime. In the second halves, the hosts perform better points-wise (ppg_2hg 1.36 vs 0.82) and more often keep a clean sheet (cs_2hg 64% vs 27%), favoring the X/1 scenario. The risk of draw-based outcomes remains significant, as both teams have a high share of draws this season (36% each).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stade Briochin | Paris 13 Atletico | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stade Briochin is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Stade Briochin · 0.92 goals / match - Paris 13 Atletico
Paris 13 Atletico is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Stade Briochin · 1.28 goals / match - Paris 13 Atletico
Stade Briochin scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Paris 13 Atletico keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Paris 13 Atletico scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Stade Briochin keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stade Briochin
Over / Under - Paris 13 Atletico
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stade Briochin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paris 13 Atletico - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stade Briochin
Paris 13 Atletico
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National).
Teams vs league
| Stade Briochin | Liga | Paris 13 Atletico | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.40 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stade Briochin 0 - 0 - 1 Paris 13 Atletico. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stade Briochin vs Paris 13 Atletico?
The National match finished Stade Briochin 0:1 Paris 13 Atletico. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stade Briochin vs Paris 13 Atletico?
Stade Briochin score 1.04 goals per game on average and Paris 13 Atletico 0.92. The National average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Stade Briochin's matches and 52% of Paris 13 Atletico's.
What form are Stade Briochin and Paris 13 Atletico in?
Over the last 5 games Stade Briochin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paris 13 Atletico 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stade Briochin vs Paris 13 Atletico?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.