Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Étoile Carouge: match statistics

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are top of the table and remain unbeaten: they have won 3 of their 4 matches, while their last five games produced 4 wins and a draw, with an impressive 15 goals scored. At home, the hosts have won both matches, averaging 2.0 goals per game and conceding none, with an xG of 2.14 and just 0.96 xG allowed to opponents. Étoile Carouge have only drawn away from home, averaging just 0.5 goals per game and failing to score in 50% of such matches. The visitors can retain possession for an average of 58% of the time, but they create significantly fewer shots on target than Lausanne-Ouchy—3 compared with 6 per game—and their conversion rate stands at just 3%. Étoile Carouge’s solid defence may limit the margin of defeat, but the hosts’ advantage in form, chance quality and finishing efficiency points clearly towards a home win.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Stade Lausanne-Ouchy kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, while Étoile Carouge failed to score in 50% of games. The visitors average just 0.5 goals per match, despite an average xG of 1.71, which suggests a clear finishing problem. In their last five appearances, Étoile Carouge recorded BTTS in only 20% of matches and conceded just 2 goals in total, so their games often remain one-sided in terms of scoring. Lausanne-Ouchy are in excellent attacking form, scoring 3.0 goals per match across their last five league games, while conceding only 0.6 goals, which increases the likelihood of a home win with the visitors failing to score. The seasonal BTTS rate for the hosts, at 0%, also supports a No Goal scenario, compared with the league average of 50%.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are in excellent goalscoring form, averaging 3.0 goals over their last 5 matches, while Étoile Carouge have conceded just 0.4 goals per game during the same period. The hosts create plenty of chances, with an average xG of 2.21 and 7.0 shots on target, but the visitors have conceded just 0.5 goals per match so far. Carouge have an xG of 1.71, yet their actual scoring average is only 0.5 goals, while Lausanne-Ouchy’s defence also concedes an average of 0.5 goals. Neither team has recorded a match with at least 4 goals so far, and Under 3.5 has landed in 100% of matches for both sides. The projected total of 2.55 goals points to a likely outcome in the 2-3 goal range, making Under 3.5 the selection with the strongest statistical support.

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are in excellent form, having won 80% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 3.0 goals and conceding just 0.6. The first-half pattern is particularly important: the hosts were leading at the break in four of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals, while their opponents, Étoile Carouge, managed just 0.2. Carouge were level at half-time in 80% of their last five outings and failed to take the lead before the break in any of them, which further supports the scenario of the hosts establishing an advantage in the first half. Lausanne-Ouchy also produce significantly more shots on target at home—7.0 compared with 3.0—while their xG stands at 2.21 versus 1.71 for the visitors. After the break, the hosts continue to perform strongly, averaging 1.2 goals across their last five matches, so the most likely HT/FT outcome remains a home lead at half-time followed by a home win.