Poland - 3 Liga Group 3Stadion MOSiRData current as of 16 October 2026

Stal Brzeg vs Polkowice: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Stal Brzeg vs Polkowice: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stal Brzeg play Polkowice in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadion MOSiR.

Current form

Stal Brzeg: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Polkowice: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stal Brzeg scores 1.58 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Polkowice scores 1.92 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stal Brzeg 58%, Polkowice 83%. Over 2.5: Stal Brzeg 42%, Polkowice 75%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Stal Brzeg has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.64. Stal Brzeg: 7.6 shots per match, Polkowice: 12.8.

Match halves

Stal Brzeg: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.00. Polkowice: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17.

Goals by minute

Stal Brzeg: 76-90+ (6 goals). Polkowice: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 3: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.58Goals scored / match1.92
Stal BrzegPolkowice
1.5Goals conceded / match1.58
Stal BrzegPolkowice
27%Average possession53%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
2.5Shots on target / match5.33
Stal BrzegPolkowice

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.58Shots per match12.83
Stal BrzegPolkowice
2.5Shots on target5.33
Stal BrzegPolkowice
20.9%Shot conversion14.9%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
27%Possession53%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
1.82xG for1.64
Stal BrzegPolkowice
1.22xG against1.4
Stal BrzegPolkowice

Shooting quality

Stal Brzeg: Counter-attackingPolkowice: Efficient finishing
Stal BrzegPolkowice
Accuracy (shots on target)33%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.240.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.630.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stal Brzeg
LWLLD
Season result split
25% W25% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Polkowice
LLLDW
Season result split
42% W25% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-3-4
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polkowice is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.58 goals / match - Stal Brzeg · 1.92 goals / match - Polkowice

Stal Brzeg is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Stal Brzeg · 1.58 goals / match - Polkowice

Stal Brzeg scoring profile: very strong

Stal Brzeg scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Polkowice keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).

Polkowice scoring profile: very strong

Polkowice scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Stal Brzeg keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).

19Goals scored (season)23
Stal BrzegPolkowice
18Goals conceded (season)19
Stal BrzegPolkowice
3.08Average goals in match3.5
Stal BrzegPolkowice
5Goals scored (last 5)7
Stal BrzegPolkowice
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Stal BrzegPolkowice

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal83%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
42%2 goals50%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
25%3 goals33%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
8%4 goals17%
Stal BrzegPolkowice

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal92%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
25%2 goals42%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
25%3 goals17%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
17%4 goals8%
Stal BrzegPolkowice

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
8%BTTS in both halves17%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
25%Scored in both halves33%
Stal BrzegPolkowice

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
40%BTTS - last 580%
Stal BrzegPolkowice

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Stal BrzegPolkowice

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time42%
Stal BrzegPolkowice

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Polkowice is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / match - Stal Brzeg · 1.42 pts / match - Polkowice

Stal Brzeg - half-time state
17% leading25% draw58% trailing
Polkowice - half-time state
33% leading42% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per match (1st half)1.42
Stal BrzegPolkowice
0.58Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Stal BrzegPolkowice
1.08Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
Stal BrzegPolkowice
1.67Average goals (1st half)1.33
Stal BrzegPolkowice
33%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
58%No goal before half-time50%
Stal BrzegPolkowice

After half-time (2nd half)

1.83Points per match (2nd half)1.33
Stal BrzegPolkowice
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.17
Stal BrzegPolkowice
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Stal BrzegPolkowice
1.42Average goals (2nd half)2.17
Stal BrzegPolkowice
58%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Stal BrzegPolkowice
42%No goal after half-time33%
Stal BrzegPolkowice

Stal Brzeg - second-half results

50% W33% D17% L
9
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Polkowice - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
17
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stal Brzeg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.00
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-5+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Polkowice - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stal Brzeg
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
4
16-30
4
6
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
2
61-75
6
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Polkowice
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
7
4
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.29
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stal Brzeg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
129%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Polkowice

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
166%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).

Teams vs league

Stal BrzegLigaPolkowice
Average goals in match▲ 3.082.83▲ 3.50
Both teams scored▲ 58%54%▲ 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 42%53%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▼ 17%26%▼ 8%
Goal before half-time▲ 83%71%▲ 75%
Goal after half-time▼ 75%79%▲ 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.67
Home goals / match
1.16
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Stal Brzeg and Polkowice play?

Stal Brzeg face Polkowice on 17 October 2026 in 3 Liga Group 3 at Stadion MOSiR. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Stal Brzeg vs Polkowice?

Stal Brzeg score 1.58 goals per game on average and Polkowice 1.92. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Stal Brzeg's matches and 83% of Polkowice's.

What form are Stal Brzeg and Polkowice in?

Over the last 5 games Stal Brzeg have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Polkowice 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stal Brzeg vs Polkowice?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stal Brzeg vs Polkowice: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.