Poland - 1. LigaStadion MOSiRData current as of 11 September 2026

Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stal Mielec play Nieciecza in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 14 September 2026. Venue: Stadion MOSiR.

Current form

Stal Mielec: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Nieciecza: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stal Mielec scores 1.71 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Nieciecza scores 1.57 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stal Mielec 71%, Nieciecza 86%. Over 2.5: Stal Mielec 57%, Nieciecza 86%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Stal Mielec has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.45. Stal Mielec: 13.6 shots per match, Nieciecza: 13.1.

Match halves

Stal Mielec: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.86. Nieciecza: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.43.

Goals by minute

Stal Mielec: 0-15 (3 goals). Nieciecza: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.36)
(3.73)
(2.59)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Stal MielecNieciecza
1.71Goals scored / match1.57
Stal MielecNieciecza
2Goals conceded / match1.57
Stal MielecNieciecza
47%Average possession46%
Stal MielecNieciecza
3.86Shots on target / match3.71
Stal MielecNieciecza

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.57Shots per match13.14
Stal MielecNieciecza
3.86Shots on target3.71
Stal MielecNieciecza
12.6%Shot conversion12%
Stal MielecNieciecza
47%Possession46%
Stal MielecNieciecza
1.5xG for1.45
Stal MielecNieciecza
1.77xG against1.47
Stal MielecNieciecza

Shooting quality

Stal Mielec: Counter-attackingNieciecza: Counter-attacking
Stal MielecNieciecza
Accuracy (shots on target)28%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stal Mielec is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Stal Mielec · 0.8 pts / match - Nieciecza

Stal Mielec
DWLLD
Season result split
29% W43% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-3-0
Last 5 at home
1-3-0
DDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.82BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Nieciecza
LLLDW
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stal Mielec is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.71 goals / match - Stal Mielec · 1.57 goals / match - Nieciecza

Nieciecza is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Stal Mielec · 1.57 goals / match - Nieciecza

Stal Mielec scoring profile: very strong

Stal Mielec scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Nieciecza keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Nieciecza scoring profile: very strong

Nieciecza scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).

12Goals scored (season)11
Stal MielecNieciecza
14Goals conceded (season)11
Stal MielecNieciecza
3.71Average goals in match3.14
Stal MielecNieciecza
7Goals scored (last 5)7
Stal MielecNieciecza
10Goals conceded (last 5)10
Stal MielecNieciecza

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal100%
Stal MielecNieciecza
43%2 goals57%
Stal MielecNieciecza
29%3 goals0%
Stal MielecNieciecza
14%4 goals0%
Stal MielecNieciecza

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal86%
Stal MielecNieciecza
57%2 goals57%
Stal MielecNieciecza
29%3 goals14%
Stal MielecNieciecza
14%4 goals0%
Stal MielecNieciecza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time14%
Stal MielecNieciecza
14%BTTS in both halves14%
Stal MielecNieciecza
29%Scored in both halves14%
Stal MielecNieciecza

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS86%
Stal MielecNieciecza
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Stal MielecNieciecza
60%BTTS - last 5100%
Stal MielecNieciecza

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Stal MielecNieciecza
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
Stal MielecNieciecza
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Stal MielecNieciecza

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Stal MielecNieciecza
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time86%
Stal MielecNieciecza
43%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Stal MielecNieciecza

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stal Mielec is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.43 pts / match - Stal Mielec · 0.43 pts / match - Nieciecza

Stal Mielec - half-time state
43% leading14% draw43% trailing
Nieciecza - half-time state
0% leading43% draw57% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.43Points per match (1st half)0.43
Stal MielecNieciecza
0.86Goals scored (1st half)0.14
Stal MielecNieciecza
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
Stal MielecNieciecza
1.57Average goals (1st half)1
Stal MielecNieciecza
43%Clean sheet before half-time29%
Stal MielecNieciecza
57%No goal before half-time86%
Stal MielecNieciecza

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)2
Stal MielecNieciecza
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)1.43
Stal MielecNieciecza
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Stal MielecNieciecza
2.14Average goals (2nd half)2.14
Stal MielecNieciecza
29%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Stal MielecNieciecza
43%No goal after half-time0%
Stal MielecNieciecza

Stal Mielec - second-half results

29% W43% D29% L
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.43
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Nieciecza - second-half results

57% W29% D14% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.43
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stal Mielec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nieciecza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.60
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stal Mielec
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
5
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Nieciecza
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
5
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
0
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.43
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
129%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
79%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stal Mielec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
119%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
165%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Nieciecza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.3
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Stal MielecLigaNieciecza
Average goals in match 3.712.65 3.14
Both teams scored 71%55% 86%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%47% 86%
Clean sheets 0%24% 14%
Goal before half-time 86%76% 71%
Goal after half-time 86%76% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Stal Mielec and Nieciecza play?

Stal Mielec face Nieciecza on 14 September 2026 in 1. Liga at Stadion MOSiR. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?

Stal Mielec score 1.71 goals per game on average and Nieciecza 1.57. The 1. Liga average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Stal Mielec's matches and 86% of Nieciecza's.

What form are Stal Mielec and Nieciecza in?

Over the last 5 games Stal Mielec have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Nieciecza 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza?

The statistical background for Stal Mielec vs Nieciecza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.