Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom: match statistics
Stal Rzeszów look very solid at home, recording a 50% win rate in home matches and an excellent five-game unbeaten run at their stadium. The hosts boast superior offensive statistics on their own turf (averaging 1.6 goals per game, xG 1.97) and dominate in terms of ball possession and number of shots. Despite Polonia Bytom's high league position, they have clear problems in away matches – only a 44% win rate, a negative goal difference (-3), and as many as 33% of away games without scoring a goal. The visitors' recent form is concerning (1.4 points per game), and their away xG (1.28) is significantly worse than Stal's defensive capabilities. Considering the hosts' advantage in key parameters and Polonia's poor away form, Stal Rzeszów has a genuine chance to win this encounter.
Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stal Rzeszów played Polonia Bytom in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Stal Rzeszów: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Polonia Bytom: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stal Rzeszów scores 1.55 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Polonia Bytom scores 1.75 and concedes 1.20. League average: 3.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stal Rzeszów 75%, Polonia Bytom 45%. Over 2.5: Stal Rzeszów 70%, Polonia Bytom 55%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Stal Rzeszów has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.73. Stal Rzeszów: 15.6 shots per match, Polonia Bytom: 13.8.
Match halves
Stal Rzeszów: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.85. Polonia Bytom: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Stal Rzeszów: 16-30 (9 goals). Polonia Bytom: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.05 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stal Rzeszów look very solid at home, recording a 50% win rate in home matches and an excellent five-game unbeaten run at their stadium. The hosts boast superior offensive statistics on their own turf (averaging 1.6 goals per game, xG 1.97) and dominate in terms of ball possession and number of shots. Despite Polonia Bytom's high league position, they have clear problems in away matches – only a 44% win rate, a negative goal difference (-3), and as many as 33% of away games without scoring a goal. The visitors' recent form is concerning (1.4 points per game), and their away xG (1.28) is significantly worse than Stal's defensive capabilities. Considering the hosts' advantage in key parameters and Polonia's poor away form, Stal Rzeszów has a genuine chance to win this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stal Rzeszów | Polonia Bytom | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stal Rzeszów is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Stal Rzeszów · 2 pts / match - Polonia Bytom
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Bytom is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Stal Rzeszów · 1.75 goals / match - Polonia Bytom
Polonia Bytom is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Stal Rzeszów · 1.2 goals / match - Polonia Bytom
Stal Rzeszów scores in 95% of matches (19 of 20 matches), while Polonia Bytom keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
Polonia Bytom scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Stal Rzeszów keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stal Rzeszów
Over / Under - Polonia Bytom
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polonia Bytom is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Stal Rzeszów · 1.85 pts / match - Polonia Bytom
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stal Rzeszów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Polonia Bytom - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stal Rzeszów
Polonia Bytom
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Stal Rzeszów | Liga | Polonia Bytom | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.05 | 3.05 | • 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 19% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stal Rzeszów 1 - 0 - 0 Polonia Bytom. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom?
The 1. Liga match finished Stal Rzeszów 3:1 Polonia Bytom. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom?
Stal Rzeszów score 1.55 goals per game on average and Polonia Bytom 1.75. The 1. Liga average is 3.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Stal Rzeszów's matches and 45% of Polonia Bytom's.
What form are Stal Rzeszów and Polonia Bytom in?
Over the last 5 games Stal Rzeszów have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Polonia Bytom 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Bytom: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.