Star Starachowice vs KSZO: match statistics
The match is poised to be extremely evenly contested, which argues for a draw. Both teams display identical win rates at their home grounds - 75% victories, with Star Starachowice averaging 2.17 goals at home and KSZO 2.08 goals away. The hosts have better form in their last five matches (2.4 points per game compared to 2.0 for the visitors) and an impressive streak of four consecutive wins. However, KSZO is characterized by a better overall record (14 wins compared to 12) and slightly better xG indicators away (1.46 vs. 1.38 for the hosts at home). The key factor is defense - Star has 50% clean sheets at home, KSZO 42% away, suggesting the possibility of a low score. The slight advantage for the hosts stems from better current form and the home factor, but KSZO's quality makes a draw the most likely scenario.
Star Starachowice vs KSZO: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Star Starachowice played KSZO in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Star Starachowice: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. KSZO: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Star Starachowice scores 1.57 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. KSZO scores 2.04 and concedes 0.87. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Star Starachowice 48%, KSZO 61%. Over 2.5: Star Starachowice 39%, KSZO 61%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Star Starachowice: 9.3 shots per match, KSZO: 7.6.
Match halves
Star Starachowice: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.22. KSZO: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Star Starachowice: 0-15 (22 goals). KSZO: 0-15 (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is poised to be extremely evenly contested, which argues for a draw. Both teams display identical win rates at their home grounds - 75% victories, with Star Starachowice averaging 2.17 goals at home and KSZO 2.08 goals away. The hosts have better form in their last five matches (2.4 points per game compared to 2.0 for the visitors) and an impressive streak of four consecutive wins. However, KSZO is characterized by a better overall record (14 wins compared to 12) and slightly better xG indicators away (1.46 vs. 1.38 for the hosts at home). The key factor is defense - Star has 50% clean sheets at home, KSZO 42% away, suggesting the possibility of a low score. The slight advantage for the hosts stems from better current form and the home factor, but KSZO's quality makes a draw the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Over the season, both teams frequently feature in BTTS matches (Star 64%, KSZO 58%), and their average goals scored are high (2.00 and 2.08), supporting the 'yes' scenario. However, data from the last 5 matches significantly cools this picture: Star has 0% BTTS, and KSZO 20%, with low goals conceded (0.6 and 0.4) and only 5 goals conceded in total across 10 matches. KSZO also boasts a solid defensive record over the season (0.67 goals conceded per match and 42% clean sheets), which increases the risk of the host failing to score. Although the xG for both sides is similar (approx. 1.5) and the FTS rate is low (18% and 17%), the current defensive form suggests a higher probability that at least one team will keep a clean sheet. Therefore, I slightly lean towards BTTS 'no' as more consistent with the recent matchday trend and KSZO's defensive profile.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The expected goals model is based on similar xG values (Star 1.48, KSZO 1.46) and xG against (Star 1.19, KSZO 1.23), resulting in a combined total of approximately 2.50 goals. Despite high seasonal scoring averages (Star 2.0 scored at home, KSZO 2.08 scored away), KSZO's defense on the road is very solid (0.67 conceded/match, 42% clean sheets), which limits the potential for a very high-scoring game. The seasonal data for overs is mixed (Over 2.5: Star 73% vs KSZO 50%; Over 3.5: 45% vs 25%), but in the last 5 matches, both teams have significantly decreased their 'over' tendency (Over 2.5: 40% and 20%) and BTTS (0% and 20%). Additionally, recent defensive form is good (Star 0.6 conceded/match, KSZO 0.4), favoring a scenario of 1-3 goals. Therefore, the strongest signal is towards Under 3.5, as it requires fewer assumptions than Under 2.5 and fits best with the defensive profiles and the recent match trend.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
KSZO has clearly superior performance indicators this season (PPG 2.5; 75% win rate; 0% loss rate) and a much more solid defense (0.67 goals conceded per match), which increases the likelihood of a win after the break. At the same time, both teams' first halves are typically cautious: KSZO has a 57% draw rate at half-time, a very low concededAVGHT (0.14), and a high percentage of clean sheets at HT (86%), with BTTS in HT being marginal (14%). This supports a draw scenario at the break with limited goal-scoring opportunities. After switching sides, KSZO maintains its level (0.14 goals conceded in the second half on average) and boasts better finishing efficiency (22% vs 15%), favoring a shift of the match in their favor. Star is in good form (last 5: 80% wins), but against such a stable defense, a breakthrough by KSZO after the interval is more probable than home dominance from the outset.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Star Starachowice | KSZO | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.84 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Star Starachowice is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Star Starachowice · 2 pts / match - KSZO
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KSZO is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Star Starachowice · 2.04 goals / match - KSZO
KSZO is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Star Starachowice · 0.87 goals / match - KSZO
Star Starachowice scores in 87% of matches (20 of 23 matches), while KSZO keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
KSZO scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Star Starachowice keeps a clean sheet in 43% (10 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Star Starachowice
Over / Under - KSZO
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Star Starachowice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KSZO - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 61%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (22 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Star Starachowice
KSZO
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Star Starachowice | Liga | KSZO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.57 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 60% | • 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 24% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▼ 39% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 30% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Star Starachowice 0 - 1 - 0 KSZO. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Star Starachowice vs KSZO?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Star Starachowice 1:3 KSZO. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Star Starachowice vs KSZO?
Star Starachowice score 1.57 goals per game on average and KSZO 2.04. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Star Starachowice's matches and 61% of KSZO's.
What form are Star Starachowice and KSZO in?
Over the last 5 games Star Starachowice have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and KSZO 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Star Starachowice vs KSZO?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.