Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: match statistics
Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Star Starachowice played Podlasie Biała Podlaska in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Star Starachowice: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Podlasie Biała Podlaska: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Star Starachowice scores 1.53 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Podlasie Biała Podlaska scores 1.78 and concedes 1.38. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Star Starachowice 56%, Podlasie Biała Podlaska 66%. Over 2.5: Star Starachowice 47%, Podlasie Biała Podlaska 69%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Star Starachowice has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.34. Star Starachowice: 8.2 shots per match, Podlasie Biała Podlaska: 6.2.
Match halves
Star Starachowice: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.28. Podlasie Biała Podlaska: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Star Starachowice: 0-15 (28 goals). Podlasie Biała Podlaska: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Star Starachowice have a strong home record: 69% wins at home, 15 wins this season and 49 goals scored this season; at home they average 2.00 goals scored and 0.94 conceded, with 0% matches without a goal and 44% clean sheets. Podlasie Biała Podlaska have scored 57 goals this season and arrive in excellent form — 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches, 14 goals scored (2.8 per match) and 2.6 points per match in that period, while the hosts have 1.4 points and 8 goals (1.6 per match) in their last 5. In terms of quality of chances xG the hosts at home post 1.44 versus 1.34 for the visitors on the road, and xG against is 1.53 for Star and 1.62 for Podlasie, suggesting slightly better defensive control from the hosts. Star Starachowice attempt more shots (avg. 12.55 shots and 5.09 on target) than the visitors (9.55 and 4.27), although the visitors are more efficient (19% conversion vs 15%). Considering the hosts’ offensive stability at home (0% FTS) and their strong home record, I tip a Star Starachowice win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: Star Starachowice 63% and Podlasie 69%, versus the league average of 59%. Seasonally the home side scores 1.63 and concedes 1.38, while the away side scores 1.94 and also concedes 1.38; xG for are similar (1.33 vs 1.34), with xG against 1.44 vs 1.62, indicating both teams have genuine chance-creation ability. In the last 5 matches there is a contrast: hosts had BTTS in 100% and conceded on average 2.0 goals (10 conceded in 5 matches), whereas guests had BTTS 40% and conceded 0.4 on average (2 conceded), so it is mainly the visitors’ defense recently limiting BTTS. Additionally both teams have a high share of Over 2.5 matches (69% each) and the away side combines Over2.5 with BTTS in 63% of cases; with conversion rates of 19% vs 14% for the hosts and a similar number of shots on target (4.27 vs 4.33) the likelihood of goals from both sides remains high. Considering the seasonal 63%/69%, the hosts’ last 5 matches with 100% BTTS and the xG and goals-per-game comparison, I tip BTTS = Yes with a probability of 70% (No 30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal: Star Starachowice have 100% of matches this season with over 1.5 goals, and Podlasie 81%, providing strong historical support for Over 1.5. The xG-based model gives an expected 1.48 goals for the home side (xG attack 1.33 vs opponent xG conceded 1.62) and 1.39 for the away side (xG attack 1.34 vs xG conceded 1.44), totaling 2.87 expected goals. A Poisson distribution with a total of 2.87 translates to ~78% chance of at least 2 goals and ~55% chance of 3 or more, so Over 1.5 is a stronger signal than Over 2.5 for this matchup. Additionally, BTTS rates are high (home 63%, away 69%) and the away team scored 14 goals in the last 5 matches (avg 2.8), which increases the probability of goals from both sides; Over 3.5 looks weaker (seasonally 25%/38%, I assess ~32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is an away lead at the break with Podlasie winning at full-time (HT/FT 2/2). The visitors average 1.00 goals by half-time versus 0.54 for the hosts, and at half-time they have 22 goals compared to the hosts' 15, strongly supporting Podlasie leading after 45 minutes. In their last five matches Podlasie led at the break in 60% of games and recorded 80% wins in that sequence, while Star were losing at half-time in 67% of their last five and won only 40%, so recent form and momentum favor the visitors. Additionally, season-long points per match of 1.75 for the visitors versus 1.44 for the hosts and win rates of 50% vs 38% indicate Podlasie’s advantage over the full match; both teams, however, frequently score (both-teams-to-score percentages are 69% for the visitors and 63% for the hosts), so alternative scenarios of a draw at half-time with an away win (X/2 24%) or a full-time draw (X/X 14%) are also realistic. Based on this I assigned 32% to 2/2 as the strongest signal, smaller shares to X/2 (24%) and X/X (14%), and a reserve for home comebacks (e.g. 1/1 6% or X/1 9%), reflecting the balance of odds and risk.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Star Starachowice | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.53 | 0.77 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Podlasie Biała Podlaska is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Star Starachowice · 2.6 pts / match - Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Podlasie Biała Podlaska is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Star Starachowice · 1.78 goals / match - Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Star Starachowice is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - Star Starachowice · 1.38 goals / match - Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Star Starachowice scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Podlasie Biała Podlaska keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Podlasie Biała Podlaska scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Star Starachowice keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Star Starachowice
Over / Under - Podlasie Biała Podlaska
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Star Starachowice is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Star Starachowice · 1.34 pts / match - Podlasie Biała Podlaska
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Star Starachowice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Podlasie Biała Podlaska - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (28 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Star Starachowice
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Star Starachowice | Liga | Podlasie Biała Podlaska | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.11 | • 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 59% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 23% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 59% | 56% | • 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 38% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Podlasie Biała PodlaskaGoalPiotr Urbański
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Star Starachowice 0 - 0 - 1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Star Starachowice 1:1 Podlasie Biała Podlaska. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Star Starachowice score 1.53 goals per game on average and Podlasie Biała Podlaska 1.78. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Star Starachowice's matches and 66% of Podlasie Biała Podlaska's.
What form are Star Starachowice and Podlasie Biała Podlaska in?
Over the last 5 games Star Starachowice have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Podlasie Biała Podlaska 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Star Starachowice vs Podlasie Biała Podlaska: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.