Stargard Szczeciński vs Kotwica Kórnik: match statistics

Stargard Szczeciński have a clearly better season record: they have won 3 of 6 matches, while Kotwica Kórnik have won only 1 and suffered as many as 4 defeats. At home, the hosts average 2.33 goals per match, register 7 shots on target and remain unbeaten in all three such fixtures, winning 67% of them. Kotwica have lost both of their away matches so far, failed to score in either and concede an average of 1.50 goals. The difference in attacking efficiency is particularly significant, as the hosts have scored in every home match, whereas the visitors have failed to score in 100% of their away appearances. Stargard also have the more favourable recent trend, with 3 wins in their last five matches and 13 goals scored, so they should make the most of their home advantage.

Stargard Szczeciński have landed BTTS - Yes in 75% of their matches this season, while both teams scored in 100% of their last five fixtures. The hosts have recently averaged 2.6 goals scored, but they are also conceding 2.0 per game, which significantly increases Kotwica Kórnik’s chances of finding the net. Kotwica averaged only 1.2 goals in their last five matches, although their xG stood at 1.78, higher than Stargard’s 1.64. Neither side has kept a single clean sheet this season, and the hosts allow opponents an average xG of 2.13. Kotwica’s weaker season-long BTTS record of 0% reduces confidence in the pick, but current attacking form and Stargard’s highly vulnerable defence support a Goal/Goal scenario.

In their last 5 matches, Stargard averaged 2.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, resulting in as many as 4.6 total goals per game. At least 3 goals were scored in each of the hosts’ five matches, with both teams finding the net in 100% of those games. Kotwica have been less clinical, but their recent average xG stands at 1.78, while Stargard’s defence allows opponents 1.72 xG and has kept no clean sheets. In addition, the league average is a high 3.69 goals per match, so even with a more cautious assessment of the visitors’ form, the 1.5 line should be surpassed comfortably. The strongest pick is Over 1.5, as it requires only two goals, while the data from both teams points to a forecast of 2.82 goals.

Stargard Szczeciński led at the break in 2 of their 4 home matches so far, scoring an average of 1.0 goal before half-time, while Kotwica Kórnik have failed to score a single away goal in that period. The visitors have lost every away match and have not scored in any of them, which clearly strengthens the scenario of the home side taking the lead in the first half. The hosts also create more shots on target, averaging 6.67 compared with their opponents’ 3.00, while their average xG stands at 1.73 versus Kotwica’s 1.50. In their last five matches, Stargard have won 60% of the time, whereas Kotwica have suffered defeat in 60% of their games. The main risk is the hosts’ poor defensive record, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match; however, the visitors’ lack of away scoring efficiency makes Stargard leading at half-time and winning at full-time—the 1/1 HT/FT outcome—the most probable scenario.