Stefanesti vs Dumbrăviţa: match statistics

Stefanesti have a clearly stronger record over their last five matches: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, while Dumbrăviţa have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats during the same period. The hosts have scored as many as 11 goals in their last five games, averaging 2.2 per match, compared with just 4 goals for the visitors. Dumbrăviţa do, however, boast the more solid defence, conceding 3 goals in their last five appearances, while Stefanesti have conceded 5. Stefanesti’s advantage in attacking strength and points-per-game rate—2.0 compared with the visitors’ 1.4—should tip the balance in favour of the hosts. However, it should be noted that Stefanesti lost their only league match of the season so far 0:3, increasing the risk of a more evenly contested encounter.

The stronger signal points toward BTTS - No, as both teams scored in only 40% of Stefanesti’s and just 20% of Dumbrăviţa’s last five matches. The visitors averaged 0.8 goals per game during this period while conceding only 0.6, which favors outcomes in which at least one side fails to score. Stefanesti are clearly stronger offensively, averaging 2.2 goals across their last five appearances, but Dumbrăviţa conceded just 3 goals in those five matches, so the hosts may also struggle to finish at a high rate. The xG values suggest a possibility of both teams scoring, standing at 1.29 for Stefanesti and 1.07 for Dumbrăviţa, but the two teams’ low historical BTTS rates outweigh the high league average of 78%.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as Ştefăneşti averaged 2.2 goals scored in their last five matches, while Dumbrăviţa conceded only 0.6 but allowed opponents an xG of 1.60. The home side scored 11 goals during this period, compared with four for their opponents, indicating a clearly greater attacking potential for the former. Dumbrăviţa produced an average of 1.07 xG, while Ştefăneşti allowed 1.25 xG, so an away goal remains a realistic addition to the 1.55:0.85 prediction. Over 2.5 goals is less certain, as only 20% of Dumbrăviţa’s last five matches went above this line; therefore, the safer and clearer edge is provided by at least a second goal in the match.

The strongest HT/FT option is a draw at half-time followed by a Ştefăneşti win, as the hosts have averaged 2.2 goals over their last five matches, compared with just 0.8 for Dumbrăviţa. The home side won 60% of those matches and collected 2.0 points per game, versus a 40% win rate and 1.4 points per game for the visitors. The opening stages could nevertheless be closely contested: Dumbrăviţa were drawing at half-time in 60% of their recent appearances and kept a clean sheet before the break in 80%, while both teams averaged 1.0 goal in the first half. After the break, the visitors averaged no goals per game and failed to win any second half, whereas the hosts averaged 1.33 points per game in that period. Full-season data is incomplete, so the forecast is based primarily on current form across the last five matches and moderately favours the hosts either overturning or breaking the deadlock after half-time.