Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath: match statistics
Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stenhousemuir played Arbroath in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 19 September 2026. Venue: Ochilview Park. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Stenhousemuir: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Arbroath: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stenhousemuir scores 1.67 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Arbroath scores 0.67 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stenhousemuir 33%, Arbroath 33%. Over 2.5: Stenhousemuir 17%, Arbroath 33%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 23%.
xG, shots and style
Stenhousemuir has higher xG: 1.03 vs 0.71. Stenhousemuir: 6.0 shots per match, Arbroath: 3.5.
Match halves
Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17. Arbroath: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (4 goals). Arbroath: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 23%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stenhousemuir are unbeaten this season, with a record of 4 wins and 1 draw, and have won 4 of their last five matches. At home, the hosts have won both games, scoring an average of 2.5 goals and conceding just 0.5, while Arbroath score only 0.67 goals away from home and allow opponents 2.33 goals per match. The difference in chance quality is reflected in the average xG: 1.39 for Stenhousemuir at home compared with 0.91 for Arbroath away. The visitors have failed to score in 67% of their away matches and have kept no clean sheets on the road, which, combined with the hosts’ 28% conversion rate, strongly points towards a win for the league leaders. Arbroath do average 65% possession away from home, but this translates into just 5 shots per match, so they should struggle to make effective use of that advantage.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS is below the league average: both teams have recorded this outcome in 33% of their matches this season, compared with 38% across the competition. Stenhousemuir keep a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches and concede just 0.33 goals on average there, while Arbroath fail to score in 67% of their away games. The visitors score only 0.67 goals per away match, with an xG of 0.91; additionally, they have averaged just 0.8 goals over their last five fixtures. The hosts are in good form, with 7 goals scored and 4 conceded in their last 5 matches, but their low xG of 0.98 over this period supports a controlled win rather than an open game in which both sides score. The most likely scenario is therefore BTTS - No, primarily due to the high risk that Arbroath will fail to breach the hosts’ well-organised defence.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Stenhousemuir defend very well at home, conceding an average of just 0.33 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of such matches. Arbroath score only 0.67 goals per away game, while their average xG stands at 0.91, limiting the visitors’ projected goal tally to around 0.72. The hosts should benefit from their opponents’ weak defensive record, with Arbroath conceding an average of 2.33 goals away from home; however, Stenhousemuir’s own average xG of 0.51 does not suggest a high-scoring game. The 3.5-goal line was not exceeded in 100% of Stenhousemuir’s home matches and 67% of Arbroath’s away games, while the league-wide average is just 2.03 goals. The projected total of 2.00 goals and the low percentage of league matches featuring at least three goals, at 24%, strongly support the Under 3.5 goals bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Stenhousemuir win at full-time, as the hosts have drawn the first half in all three of their home matches so far, scoring and conceding no goals before the break. Arbroath concede an average of 1.33 goals in the first half away from home, but their last five matches have produced a half-time draw in 60% of cases, which still supports the prospect of a cautious opening. After the break, the hosts’ advantage becomes significantly more pronounced: they score an average of 0.67 goals and concede just 0.33, while Arbroath allow opponents an average of 1.00 goal in the second half away from home. Stenhousemuir have won four of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 0.8, whereas Arbroath concede an average of 2.33 goals per match away from home.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stenhousemuir | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 61% | 62% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stenhousemuir is 88% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.6 pts / match - Arbroath
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stenhousemuir is 149% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 0.67 goals / match - Arbroath
Stenhousemuir is 303% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.33 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.33 goals / match - Arbroath
Stenhousemuir scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Arbroath keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Arbroath scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 67% (4 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
Over / Under - Arbroath
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stenhousemuir is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1 pts / match - Arbroath
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arbroath - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stenhousemuir
Arbroath
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Stenhousemuir | Liga | Arbroath | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 2.00 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 23% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 67% | 68% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
The Championship match finished Stenhousemuir 1:0 Arbroath. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
Stenhousemuir score 1.67 goals per game on average and Arbroath 0.67. The Championship average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 33% of Arbroath's.
What form are Stenhousemuir and Arbroath in?
Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Arbroath 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stenhousemuir vs Arbroath: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.