Scotland - League OneData current as of 13 September 2026

Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers: match statistics

Stenhousemuir crest
Stenhousemuir
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Cove Rangers crest
Cove Rangers
155%(1.85)
X30%(3.20)
215%(3.70)

Stenhousemuir occupies a high 2nd position in the table and presents impressive home form with 46% wins and only 8% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +11 in home matches and an impressive 46% clean sheets, evidencing solid defense. Cove Rangers, on the other hand, performs poorly on the road, where they lose 54% of matches and fail to score in 38% of games. The visitors have a negative goal difference of -1 in away matches and just 23% wins. Although Cove Rangers' recent overall form is decent (2 wins in 5 matches), their weak away disposition and the hosts' dominance at home speak for a Stenhousemuir win. A draw is also possible, considering the hosts' 46% draw rate in home matches and a recent series of 3 draws in 5 overall matches.

Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stenhousemuir played Cove Rangers in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Stenhousemuir: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Cove Rangers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stenhousemuir scores 1.36 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Cove Rangers scores 1.12 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stenhousemuir 44%, Cove Rangers 42%. Over 2.5: Stenhousemuir 40%, Cove Rangers 46%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Cove Rangers has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.16. Stenhousemuir: 8.3 shots per match, Cove Rangers: 9.3.

Match halves

Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.76. Cove Rangers: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.62.

Goals by minute

Stenhousemuir: 76-90+ (8 goals). Cove Rangers: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Stenhousemuir occupies a high 2nd position in the table and presents impressive home form with 46% wins and only 8% losses at their own stadium. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +11 in home matches and an impressive 46% clean sheets, evidencing solid defense. Cove Rangers, on the other hand, performs poorly on the road, where they lose 54% of matches and fail to score in 38% of games. The visitors have a negative goal difference of -1 in away matches and just 23% wins. Although Cove Rangers' recent overall form is decent (2 wins in 5 matches), their weak away disposition and the hosts' dominance at home speak for a Stenhousemuir win. A draw is also possible, considering the hosts' 46% draw rate in home matches and a recent series of 3 draws in 5 overall matches.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
6Shots8
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
3Shots on target3
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
1.04xG1.22
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
5Corners9
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
61Dangerous attacks68
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
11Fouls11
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
1Cards2
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

StenhousemuirCove Rangers
1.36Goals scored / match1.12
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
0.84Goals conceded / match1.31
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
50%Average possession49%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
4.28Shots on target / match4.31
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.32Shots per match9.35
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
4.28Shots on target4.31
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
16.3%Shot conversion11.9%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
50%Possession49%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
1.16xG for1.24
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
1.15xG against1.32
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

Shooting quality

Stenhousemuir: Efficient finishingCove Rangers: Balanced
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
Accuracy (shots on target)51%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stenhousemuir is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.6 pts / match - Cove Rangers

Stenhousemuir
WWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
44% W40% D16% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-10-4
1.72 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-6-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.05BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Cove Rangers
DDLWW
Season result split
23% W27% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-7-13
0.96 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-7
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stenhousemuir is 21% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.12 goals / match - Cove Rangers

Stenhousemuir is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.84 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.31 goals / match - Cove Rangers

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: very strong

Stenhousemuir scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).

Cove Rangers scoring profile: mixed

Cove Rangers scores in 54% of matches (14 of 26 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 44% (11 of 25 matches).

34Goals scored (season)29
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
21Goals conceded (season)34
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
2.2Average goals in match2.42
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
11Goals scored (last 5)8
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

How often they score at least...

72%1 goal54%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
40%2 goals27%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
16%3 goals19%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
8%4 goals8%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal77%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
24%2 goals42%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
4%3 goals12%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
0%4 goals0%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time15%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
0%BTTS in both halves4%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
28%Scored in both halves19%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

BTTS and goal count

32%Min. 3 goals and BTTS35%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
60%BTTS - last 580%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

2nd half

68%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stenhousemuir is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.44 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.19 pts / match - Cove Rangers

Stenhousemuir - half-time state
32% leading48% draw20% trailing
Cove Rangers - half-time state
27% leading38% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.44Points per match (1st half)1.19
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.5
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
1Average goals (1st half)1.08
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
64%Clean sheet before half-time54%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
52%No goal before half-time65%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per match (2nd half)1.15
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.23
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
60%Clean sheet after half-time50%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers
48%No goal after half-time62%
StenhousemuirCove Rangers

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

40% W40% D20% L
36
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding138%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cove Rangers - second-half results

27% W35% D38% L
31
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stenhousemuir - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+4+2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Cove Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
4
5
16-30
6
4
31-45
7
5
46-60
4
1
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Cove Rangers
ScoredConceded
4
11
0-15
4
5
16-30
5
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
6
6
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Cove Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

StenhousemuirLigaCove Rangers
Average goals in match 2.202.66 2.42
Both teams scored 44%47% 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%53% 46%
Clean sheets 44%30% 23%
Goal before half-time 68%74% 65%
Goal after half-time 68%80% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+20%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Cove RangersYellow cardArron Darge
  2. StenhousemuirGoalOlly Whyte
  3. Cove RangersYellow cardLewis O'Donnell
  4. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Ross TaylorOff: Kane Ritchie-Hosler
  5. Cove RangersSubstitutionOn: Reuben McAllisterOff: David Didi Eguaibor
  6. StenhousemuirYellow cardKinlay Bilham
  7. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Findlay GrayOff: Ewan O'Reilly

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Joel KennedyMatches officiated: 10
5.1Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins20%Draws40%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Stenhousemuir 2 - 0 - 0 Cove Rangers. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Cove Rangers FC
0 : 1
Stenhousemuir FC
Stenhousemuir FC
1 : 0
Cove Rangers FC

FAQ

What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

The League One match finished Stenhousemuir 1:0 Cove Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Cove Rangers?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 2, Cove Rangers won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

Stenhousemuir score 1.36 goals per game on average and Cove Rangers 1.12. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 42% of Cove Rangers's.

What form are Stenhousemuir and Cove Rangers in?

Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Cove Rangers 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers?

The statistical background for Stenhousemuir vs Cove Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.