Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stenhousemuir played Inverness CT in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Stenhousemuir: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Inverness CT: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stenhousemuir scores 1.18 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 1.94 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stenhousemuir 47%, Inverness CT 31%. Over 2.5: Stenhousemuir 41%, Inverness CT 44%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.21. Stenhousemuir: 8.9 shots per match, Inverness CT: 15.0.

Match halves

Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.71. Inverness CT: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (5 goals). Inverness CT: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

34Possession (%)66
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3Shots14
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3Shots on target2
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.62xG1.47
StenhousemuirInverness CT
3Corners9
StenhousemuirInverness CT
30Dangerous attacks62
StenhousemuirInverness CT
18Fouls7
StenhousemuirInverness CT
5Cards1
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.18Goals scored / match1.94
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.94Goals conceded / match0.56
StenhousemuirInverness CT
50%Average possession52%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
4.41Shots on target / match6.75
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.94Shots per match15
StenhousemuirInverness CT
4.41Shots on target6.75
StenhousemuirInverness CT
13.2%Shot conversion12.9%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
50%Possession52%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.21xG for1.86
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.23xG against0.85
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Shooting quality

Stenhousemuir: Efficient finishingInverness CT: Attacking
StenhousemuirInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)49%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Inverness CT is 160% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 2.6 pts / match - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir
DLWDL
Season result split
41% W35% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-4
1.59 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Inverness CT
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
75% W13% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-2-2
2.38 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 0.61BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Inverness CT is 64% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.94 goals / match - Inverness CT

Inverness CT is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.94 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 0.56 goals / match - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: more difficult

Stenhousemuir scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 69% (11 of 16 matches).

Inverness CT scoring profile: very strong

Inverness CT scores in 100% of matches (16 of 16 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).

20Goals scored (season)31
StenhousemuirInverness CT
16Goals conceded (season)9
StenhousemuirInverness CT
2.12Average goals in match2.5
StenhousemuirInverness CT
6Goals scored (last 5)11
StenhousemuirInverness CT
7Goals conceded (last 5)1
StenhousemuirInverness CT

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal100%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
29%2 goals50%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
18%3 goals25%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
6%4 goals19%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal31%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
24%2 goals19%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
6%3 goals6%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time19%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves0%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
24%Scored in both halves44%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS19%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
40%BTTS - last 520%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time75%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Inverness CT is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.88 pts / match - Inverness CT

Stenhousemuir - half-time state
24% leading53% draw24% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per match (1st half)1.88
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.94
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.31
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.94Average goals (1st half)1.25
StenhousemuirInverness CT
59%Clean sheet before half-time75%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
59%No goal before half-time31%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.47Points per match (2nd half)2.19
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)1
StenhousemuirInverness CT
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
StenhousemuirInverness CT
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.25
StenhousemuirInverness CT
53%Clean sheet after half-time81%
StenhousemuirInverness CT
53%No goal after half-time25%
StenhousemuirInverness CT

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

35% W41% R24% P
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inverness CT - second-half results

69% W13% R19% P
30
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stenhousemuir - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.00
Goals scored / match1.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+6+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
5
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
7
2
31-45
6
1
46-60
7
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.31
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+30%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.59
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
163%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
41%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

StenhousemuirLigaInverness CT
Average goals in match 2.122.57 2.50
Both teams scored 47%43% 31%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%54% 44%
Clean sheets 35%32% 69%
Goal before half-time 65%73% 75%
Goal after half-time 71%82% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.38
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Inverness CTYellow cardDaniel Devine
  2. StenhousemuirYellow cardLeyton Grant
  3. StenhousemuirYellow cardRoss Taylor
  4. StenhousemuirYellow cardArchie Graham
  5. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Luis LongstaffOff: David Wotherspoon
  6. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Zeke CameronOff: Ross Taylor
  7. StenhousemuirGoalOlly WhyteAssist: Matthew Aitken
  8. Inverness CTSubstitutionOn: Billy McKayOff: Liam Sole
  9. StenhousemuirYellow cardMatthew Aitken
  10. StenhousemuirYellow cardLeyton Grant
  11. StenhousemuirSubstitutionOn: Scott McGillOff: Matthew Aitken

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 - 0 Inverness CT. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Inverness Caledonian Thistle FC
1 : 2
Stenhousemuir FC

FAQ

What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

The League One match finished Stenhousemuir 1:0 Inverness CT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

Stenhousemuir score 1.18 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 1.94. The League One average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 31% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Stenhousemuir and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Inverness CT 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.