Stenhousemuir vs Montrose: match statistics
Stenhousemuir boasts impressive home form with a 50% win rate and just an 8% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts occupy a high 2nd position in the table and can pride themselves on a positive goal difference of +11 in home matches, while conceding an average of just 0.75 goals per game. Montrose, on the other hand, struggles in away matches, where they lose as many as 45% of their games and concede an average of 1.64 goals per match, resulting in a negative goal difference of -4. The visitors' form is concerning - averaging only 0.8 points per game in their last five matches and currently on a three-game losing streak. Stenhousemuir also holds an advantage in the xG statistics (1.21 vs 1.11) and maintains a 50% clean sheet record at home, which, combined with the guests' poor offensive form (27% FTS% away), further supports a win for the hosts.
Stenhousemuir vs Montrose: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stenhousemuir played Montrose in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Stenhousemuir: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Montrose: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stenhousemuir scores 1.35 and concedes 0.78 goals per match. Montrose scores 1.18 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stenhousemuir 39%, Montrose 50%. Over 2.5: Stenhousemuir 39%, Montrose 55%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Stenhousemuir has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.06. Stenhousemuir: 8.3 shots per match, Montrose: 8.2.
Match halves
Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.78. Montrose: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Stenhousemuir: 76-90+ (8 goals). Montrose: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stenhousemuir boasts impressive home form with a 50% win rate and just an 8% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts occupy a high 2nd position in the table and can pride themselves on a positive goal difference of +11 in home matches, while conceding an average of just 0.75 goals per game. Montrose, on the other hand, struggles in away matches, where they lose as many as 45% of their games and concede an average of 1.64 goals per match, resulting in a negative goal difference of -4. The visitors' form is concerning - averaging only 0.8 points per game in their last five matches and currently on a three-game losing streak. Stenhousemuir also holds an advantage in the xG statistics (1.21 vs 1.11) and maintains a 50% clean sheet record at home, which, combined with the guests' poor offensive form (27% FTS% away), further supports a win for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stenhousemuir | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 53% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stenhousemuir is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.4 pts / match - Montrose
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stenhousemuir is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.18 goals / match - Montrose
Stenhousemuir is 115% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.78 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.68 goals / match - Montrose
Stenhousemuir scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Montrose scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 48% (11 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
Over / Under - Montrose
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stenhousemuir is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.05 pts / match - Montrose
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Montrose - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stenhousemuir
Montrose
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stenhousemuir | Liga | Montrose | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.13 | 2.65 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 31% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Stenhousemuir 1 - 0 - 1 Montrose. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?
The League One match finished Stenhousemuir 2:2 Montrose. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Montrose?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 1, Montrose won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?
Stenhousemuir score 1.35 goals per game on average and Montrose 1.18. The League One average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 50% of Montrose's.
What form are Stenhousemuir and Montrose in?
Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Montrose 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Montrose?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stenhousemuir vs Montrose: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.