Scotland - League OneData current as of 23 July 2026

Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South: match statistics

135%(2.17)
X35%(3.10)
230%(3.05)

The match promises to be extremely evenly matched, justifying the prediction of a draw. Stenhousemuir displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and just 11% losses on their own turf, averaging 1.33 goals per game. However, Queen of the South is in outstanding overall form, having won four of their last five matches and netting 12 goals in that span. Nevertheless, the visitors possess a weaker away record (33% wins, 44% losses), which helps level the playing field. xG statistics are very similar for both sides, and the average goal count suggests a scoring affair. Considering the hosts' efficiency at home and the visitors' current excellent disposition, a sharing of the points appears to be the most likely scenario.

Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stenhousemuir play Queen of the South in League One (Scotland). The match date is 3 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Stenhousemuir: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Queen of the South: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stenhousemuir scores 1.36 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Queen of the South scores 1.61 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.62 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stenhousemuir 39%, Queen of the South 58%. Over 2.5: Stenhousemuir 33%, Queen of the South 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Queen of the South has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.20. Stenhousemuir: 8.9 shots per match, Queen of the South: 11.1.

Match halves

Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.75. Queen of the South: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.06.

Goals by minute

Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (11 goals). Queen of the South: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-3-0. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 67%.

Match description

The match promises to be extremely evenly matched, justifying the prediction of a draw. Stenhousemuir displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and just 11% losses on their own turf, averaging 1.33 goals per game. However, Queen of the South is in outstanding overall form, having won four of their last five matches and netting 12 goals in that span. Nevertheless, the visitors possess a weaker away record (33% wins, 44% losses), which helps level the playing field. xG statistics are very similar for both sides, and the average goal count suggests a scoring affair. Considering the hosts' efficiency at home and the visitors' current excellent disposition, a sharing of the points appears to be the most likely scenario.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
8Shots5
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
7Shots on target2
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
1.35xG0.83
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
2Corners1
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
49Dangerous attacks51
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
17Fouls18
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
4Cards2
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

StenhousemuirQueen of the South
1.36Goals scored / match1.61
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
0.75Goals conceded / match1.25
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
50%Average possession52%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
4.28Shots on target / match4.78
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.86Shots per match11.14
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
4.28Shots on target4.78
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
15.4%Shot conversion14.5%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
50%Possession52%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
1.2xG for1.39
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
1.18xG against1.31
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

Shooting quality

Stenhousemuir: Efficient finishingQueen of the South: Efficient finishing
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
Accuracy (shots on target)48%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stenhousemuir is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.8 pts / match - Queen of the South

Stenhousemuir
WDLWW
Season result split
50% W36% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-13-5
1.86 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-7-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Queen of the South
DWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
42% W31% R28% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-11-10
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-6-6
Last 5 away
2-3-0
WDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Queen of the South is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.36 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.61 goals / match - Queen of the South

Stenhousemuir is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.75 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.25 goals / match - Queen of the South

Stenhousemuir scoring profile: very strong

Stenhousemuir scores in 78% of matches (28 of 36 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).

Queen of the South scoring profile: strong

Queen of the South scores in 81% of matches (29 of 36 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 50% (18 of 36 matches).

49Goals scored (season)58
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
27Goals conceded (season)45
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
2.11Average goals in match2.86
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
7Goals scored (last 5)10
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal81%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
39%2 goals44%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
14%3 goals22%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
6%4 goals11%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal75%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
22%2 goals33%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
3%3 goals11%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
0%4 goals6%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
Queen of the South - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 36 matches
50%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time14%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
0%BTTS in both halves3%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
31%Scored in both halves31%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
20%BTTS - last 580%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time78%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stenhousemuir is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.58 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.33 pts / match - Queen of the South

Stenhousemuir - half-time state
39% leading42% draw19% trailing
Queen of the South - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.58Points per match (1st half)1.33
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.56
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
0.94Average goals (1st half)1.14
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
69%Clean sheet before half-time53%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
50%No goal before half-time56%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

After half-time (2nd half)

1.72Points per match (2nd half)1.64
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
0.75Goals scored (2nd half)1.06
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
0.42Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1.72
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
64%Clean sheet after half-time42%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South
42%No goal after half-time33%
StenhousemuirQueen of the South

Stenhousemuir - second-half results

47% W31% R22% P
57
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.58
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Queen of the South - second-half results

47% W22% R31% P
48
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stenhousemuir - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Queen of the South - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.21.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.62.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-1+6
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stenhousemuir
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
8
5
16-30
8
4
31-45
11
7
46-60
5
3
61-75
11
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Queen of the South
ScoredConceded
7
7
0-15
8
7
16-30
5
7
31-45
13
9
46-60
9
6
61-75
16
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.49
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-46%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stenhousemuir

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Queen of the South

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

StenhousemuirLigaQueen of the South
Average goals in match 2.112.62 2.86
Both teams scored 39%50% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%49% 50%
Clean sheets 50%28% 25%
Goal before half-time 69%73% 78%
Goal after half-time 75%83% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.21
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Stenhousemuir 0 - 3 - 0 Queen of the South. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Queen of the South FC
1 : 1
Stenhousemuir FC
Queen of the South FC
1 : 1
Stenhousemuir FC
Stenhousemuir FC
0 : 0
Queen of the South FC

FAQ

What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South?

The League One match finished Stenhousemuir 2:0 Queen of the South. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Queen of the South?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 0, Queen of the South won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South?

Stenhousemuir score 1.36 goals per game on average and Queen of the South 1.61. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 58% of Queen of the South's.

What form are Stenhousemuir and Queen of the South in?

Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Queen of the South 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South?

The statistical background for Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.