Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely evenly matched, justifying the prediction of a draw. Stenhousemuir displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and just 11% losses on their own turf, averaging 1.33 goals per game. However, Queen of the South is in outstanding overall form, having won four of their last five matches and netting 12 goals in that span. Nevertheless, the visitors possess a weaker away record (33% wins, 44% losses), which helps level the playing field. xG statistics are very similar for both sides, and the average goal count suggests a scoring affair. Considering the hosts' efficiency at home and the visitors' current excellent disposition, a sharing of the points appears to be the most likely scenario.
Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stenhousemuir played Queen of the South in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Stenhousemuir: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Queen of the South: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stenhousemuir scores 1.11 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Queen of the South scores 1.42 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stenhousemuir 42%, Queen of the South 37%. Over 2.5: Stenhousemuir 37%, Queen of the South 47%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Queen of the South has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.15. Stenhousemuir: 8.5 shots per match, Queen of the South: 11.4.
Match halves
Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.68. Queen of the South: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (5 goals). Queen of the South: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely evenly matched, justifying the prediction of a draw. Stenhousemuir displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and just 11% losses on their own turf, averaging 1.33 goals per game. However, Queen of the South is in outstanding overall form, having won four of their last five matches and netting 12 goals in that span. Nevertheless, the visitors possess a weaker away record (33% wins, 44% losses), which helps level the playing field. xG statistics are very similar for both sides, and the average goal count suggests a scoring affair. Considering the hosts' efficiency at home and the visitors' current excellent disposition, a sharing of the points appears to be the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stenhousemuir | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Queen of the South is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 2 pts / match - Queen of the South
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Queen of the South is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.42 goals / match - Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.16 goals / match - Queen of the South
Stenhousemuir scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Queen of the South keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Queen of the South scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
Over / Under - Queen of the South
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Queen of the South is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Stenhousemuir · 1.58 pts / match - Queen of the South
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Queen of the South - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stenhousemuir
Queen of the South
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stenhousemuir | Liga | Queen of the South | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.95 | 2.55 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | • 42% | 41% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 32% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 80% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Stenhousemuir 0 - 2 - 0 Queen of the South. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South?
The League One match finished Stenhousemuir 2:0 Queen of the South. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Queen of the South?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stenhousemuir won 0, Queen of the South won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South?
Stenhousemuir score 1.11 goals per game on average and Queen of the South 1.42. The League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Stenhousemuir's matches and 37% of Queen of the South's.
What form are Stenhousemuir and Queen of the South in?
Over the last 5 games Stenhousemuir have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Queen of the South 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South?
The statistical background for Stenhousemuir vs Queen of the South — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.