Stevenage vs Cardiff City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stevenage played Cardiff City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 9 December 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Stevenage: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Cardiff City: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stevenage scores 1.19 and concedes 0.69 goals per match. Cardiff City scores 1.82 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.45 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stevenage 38%, Cardiff City 47%. Over 2.5: Stevenage 25%, Cardiff City 59%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.11. Stevenage: 9.1 shots per match, Cardiff City: 14.5.

Match halves

Stevenage: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69. Cardiff City: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.35.

Goals by minute

Stevenage: 61-75 (5 goals). Cardiff City: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

33Possession (%)67
StevenageCardiff City
2Shots11
StevenageCardiff City
0Shots on target2
StevenageCardiff City
0.46xG1.11
StevenageCardiff City
4Corners6
StevenageCardiff City
44Dangerous attacks38
StevenageCardiff City
18Fouls12
StevenageCardiff City
4Cards1
StevenageCardiff City

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

StevenageCardiff City
1.19Goals scored / match1.82
StevenageCardiff City
0.69Goals conceded / match1
StevenageCardiff City
44%Average possession61%
StevenageCardiff City
3.44Shots on target / match5.24
StevenageCardiff City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.13Shots per match14.53
StevenageCardiff City
3.44Shots on target5.24
StevenageCardiff City
13%Shot conversion12.6%
StevenageCardiff City
44%Possession61%
StevenageCardiff City
1.11xG for1.7
StevenageCardiff City
1.13xG against1.47
StevenageCardiff City

Shooting quality

Stevenage: Counter-attackingCardiff City: Dominant
StevenageCardiff City
Accuracy (shots on target)38%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cardiff City is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Stevenage · 1.8 pts / match - Cardiff City

Stevenage
DLDWD
Season result split
56% W25% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-3
1.94 pts / match · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-0
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.92Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Cardiff City
LLWWW
Season result split
65% W12% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-2-4
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cardiff City is 53% better for: goals scored per match.

1.19 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.82 goals / match - Cardiff City

Stevenage is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.69 goals / match - Stevenage · 1 goals / match - Cardiff City

Stevenage scoring profile: strong

Stevenage scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).

Cardiff City scoring profile: strong

Cardiff City scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).

19Goals scored (season)31
StevenageCardiff City
11Goals conceded (season)17
StevenageCardiff City
1.88Average goals in match2.82
StevenageCardiff City
2Goals scored (last 5)10
StevenageCardiff City
2Goals conceded (last 5)7
StevenageCardiff City

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal82%
StevenageCardiff City
38%2 goals53%
StevenageCardiff City
13%3 goals35%
StevenageCardiff City
0%4 goals12%
StevenageCardiff City

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal59%
StevenageCardiff City
13%2 goals24%
StevenageCardiff City
0%3 goals18%
StevenageCardiff City
0%4 goals0%
StevenageCardiff City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time6%
StevenageCardiff City
13%BTTS in both halves6%
StevenageCardiff City
19%Scored in both halves41%
StevenageCardiff City

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
StevenageCardiff City
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
StevenageCardiff City
20%BTTS - last 560%
StevenageCardiff City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
StevenageCardiff City
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
StevenageCardiff City
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
StevenageCardiff City

2nd half

56%Min. 1 goal after half-time94%
StevenageCardiff City
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
StevenageCardiff City
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
StevenageCardiff City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cardiff City is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Stevenage · 1.47 pts / match - Cardiff City

Stevenage - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing
Cardiff City - half-time state
35% leading41% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)1.47
StevenageCardiff City
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.47
StevenageCardiff City
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
StevenageCardiff City
0.88Average goals (1st half)0.82
StevenageCardiff City
63%Clean sheet before half-time71%
StevenageCardiff City
56%No goal before half-time59%
StevenageCardiff City

After half-time (2nd half)

1.5Points per match (2nd half)2.12
StevenageCardiff City
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)1.35
StevenageCardiff City
0.31Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
StevenageCardiff City
1Average goals (2nd half)2
StevenageCardiff City
69%Clean sheet after half-time59%
StevenageCardiff City
56%No goal after half-time18%
StevenageCardiff City

Stevenage - second-half results

31% W56% D13% L
22
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding224%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cardiff City - second-half results

65% W18% D18% L
25
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding186%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stevenage - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match0.80.0
1 goal60%0%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Cardiff City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.01.4
Average goals in match0.62.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stevenage
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
4
2
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
5
4
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Cardiff City
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
2
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
8
5
46-60
6
2
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
57%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stevenage

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Cardiff City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.59
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
175%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

StevenageLigaCardiff City
Average goals in match 1.882.45 2.82
Both teams scored 38%49% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%46% 59%
Clean sheets 44%28% 41%
Goal before half-time 56%67% 65%
Goal after half-time 56%81% 94%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.45
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+36%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. StevenageYellow cardCarl Liam Piergianni
  2. StevenageYellow cardCharlie Goode
  3. Cardiff CitySubstitutionOn: Omari KellymanOff: Joel Colwill
  4. StevenageSubstitutionOn: Chem CampbellOff: Beryly Logos Lubala
  5. StevenageSubstitutionOn: Phoenix PattersonOff: Saxon Earley
  6. StevenageYellow cardRyan Doherty
  7. Cardiff CitySubstitutionOn: Callum RobinsonOff: Cian Ashford
  8. Cardiff CityYellow cardCalum Chambers
  9. Cardiff CityGoalCallum Robinson
  10. StevenageSubstitutionOn: Jovan MalcolmOff: Ryan Doherty

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Stevenage vs Cardiff City?

The EFL League One match finished Stevenage 0:1 Cardiff City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Stevenage vs Cardiff City?

Stevenage score 1.19 goals per game on average and Cardiff City 1.82. The EFL League One average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Stevenage's matches and 47% of Cardiff City's.

What form are Stevenage and Cardiff City in?

Over the last 5 games Stevenage have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Cardiff City 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stevenage vs Cardiff City?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stevenage vs Cardiff City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.