Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stevenage play Milton Keynes Dons in EFL League One (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: The Lamex Stadium.
Current form
Stevenage: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Milton Keynes Dons: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stevenage scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.10 and concedes 1.80. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stevenage 50%, Milton Keynes Dons 70%. Over 2.5: Stevenage 50%, Milton Keynes Dons 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Milton Keynes Dons has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.33. Stevenage: 11.7 shots per match, Milton Keynes Dons: 13.8.
Match halves
Stevenage: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.10. Milton Keynes Dons: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Stevenage: 76-90+ (5 goals). Milton Keynes Dons: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stevenage | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stevenage is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Stevenage · 1 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stevenage is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.1 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.8 goals / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Stevenage scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stevenage
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stevenage is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Stevenage · 1.2 pts / match - Milton Keynes Dons
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stevenage
Milton Keynes Dons
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stevenage | Liga | Milton Keynes Dons | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.84 | • 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 30% | 67% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 84% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons play?
Stevenage face Milton Keynes Dons on 24 October 2026 in EFL League One at The Lamex Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Stevenage score 1.50 goals per game on average and Milton Keynes Dons 1.10. The EFL League One average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Stevenage's matches and 70% of Milton Keynes Dons's.
What form are Stevenage and Milton Keynes Dons in?
Over the last 5 games Stevenage have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Milton Keynes Dons 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.