Stevenage vs Peterborough United: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Stevenage presents solid home form with 50% of matches ending in a draw and an impressive goal difference of +6 at home, however, their recent overall form is weak (0.6 PTS/match). Peterborough United has better disposition in the last five matches (1.8 PTS/match) and a higher average possession (53%), but they concede a lot of goals away (1.54/match) and have a negative balance of -4. A key factor is the fact that Stevenage finishes 50% of home matches without conceding a goal, while Peterborough does not record draws away (0%), which suggests a decisive result. Taking into account the defensive solidity of the hosts at home and the variable form of the visitors away, I expect a close duel with a slight advantage for either side to win, with a draw remaining a realistic scenario due to Stevenage's tendency to split points at home.
Stevenage vs Peterborough United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stevenage played Peterborough United in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Stevenage: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Peterborough United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stevenage scores 1.08 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Peterborough United scores 1.30 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stevenage 46%, Peterborough United 44%. Over 2.5: Stevenage 35%, Peterborough United 52%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Peterborough United has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.11. Stevenage: 9.3 shots per match, Peterborough United: 12.7.
Match halves
Stevenage: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.73. Peterborough United: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Stevenage: 46-60 (8 goals). Peterborough United: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Stevenage presents solid home form with 50% of matches ending in a draw and an impressive goal difference of +6 at home, however, their recent overall form is weak (0.6 PTS/match). Peterborough United has better disposition in the last five matches (1.8 PTS/match) and a higher average possession (53%), but they concede a lot of goals away (1.54/match) and have a negative balance of -4. A key factor is the fact that Stevenage finishes 50% of home matches without conceding a goal, while Peterborough does not record draws away (0%), which suggests a decisive result. Taking into account the defensive solidity of the hosts at home and the variable form of the visitors away, I expect a close duel with a slight advantage for either side to win, with a draw remaining a realistic scenario due to Stevenage's tendency to split points at home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stevenage | Peterborough United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peterborough United is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Stevenage · 1.8 pts / match - Peterborough United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peterborough United is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.3 goals / match - Peterborough United
Stevenage is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.3 goals / match - Peterborough United
Stevenage scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Peterborough United keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 matches).
Peterborough United scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stevenage
Over / Under - Peterborough United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Peterborough United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stevenage
Peterborough United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stevenage | Liga | Peterborough United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.54 | • 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 68% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 81% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stevenage 1 - 0 - 0 Peterborough United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stevenage vs Peterborough United?
The EFL League One match finished Stevenage 1:0 Peterborough United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stevenage vs Peterborough United?
Stevenage score 1.08 goals per game on average and Peterborough United 1.30. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Stevenage's matches and 44% of Peterborough United's.
What form are Stevenage and Peterborough United in?
Over the last 5 games Stevenage have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Peterborough United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stevenage vs Peterborough United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stevenage vs Peterborough United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.