Stevenage vs Peterborough United: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Stevenage presents solid home form with 50% of matches ending in a draw and an impressive goal difference of +6 at home, however, their recent overall form is weak (0.6 PTS/match). Peterborough United has better disposition in the last five matches (1.8 PTS/match) and a higher average possession (53%), but they concede a lot of goals away (1.54/match) and have a negative balance of -4. A key factor is the fact that Stevenage finishes 50% of home matches without conceding a goal, while Peterborough does not record draws away (0%), which suggests a decisive result. Taking into account the defensive solidity of the hosts at home and the variable form of the visitors away, I expect a close duel with a slight advantage for either side to win, with a draw remaining a realistic scenario due to Stevenage's tendency to split points at home.
Stevenage vs Peterborough United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stevenage play Peterborough United in EFL League One (England). The match date is 27 January 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Stevenage: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Peterborough United: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stevenage scores 1.02 and concedes 1.02 goals per match. Peterborough United scores 1.39 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stevenage 44%, Peterborough United 59%. Over 2.5: Stevenage 35%, Peterborough United 57%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Peterborough United has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.20. Stevenage: 10.0 shots per match, Peterborough United: 12.1.
Match halves
Stevenage: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.58. Peterborough United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Stevenage: 16-30 (10 goals). Peterborough United: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Stevenage presents solid home form with 50% of matches ending in a draw and an impressive goal difference of +6 at home, however, their recent overall form is weak (0.6 PTS/match). Peterborough United has better disposition in the last five matches (1.8 PTS/match) and a higher average possession (53%), but they concede a lot of goals away (1.54/match) and have a negative balance of -4. A key factor is the fact that Stevenage finishes 50% of home matches without conceding a goal, while Peterborough does not record draws away (0%), which suggests a decisive result. Taking into account the defensive solidity of the hosts at home and the variable form of the visitors away, I expect a close duel with a slight advantage for either side to win, with a draw remaining a realistic scenario due to Stevenage's tendency to split points at home.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stevenage | Peterborough United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stevenage is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Stevenage · 0.4 pts / match - Peterborough United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peterborough United is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.02 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.39 goals / match - Peterborough United
Stevenage is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.02 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.48 goals / match - Peterborough United
Stevenage scores in 73% of matches (35 of 48 matches), while Peterborough United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).
Peterborough United scores in 78% of matches (36 of 46 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 40% (19 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Stevenage
Over / Under — Peterborough United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stevenage is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Stevenage · 1.13 pts / match - Peterborough United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Peterborough United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (21). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stevenage
Peterborough United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stevenage | Liga | Peterborough United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.04 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stevenage 1 - 0 - 0 Peterborough United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stevenage vs Peterborough United?
The EFL League One match finished Stevenage 1:0 Peterborough United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stevenage vs Peterborough United?
Stevenage score 1.02 goals per game on average and Peterborough United 1.39. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Stevenage's matches and 59% of Peterborough United's.
What form are Stevenage and Peterborough United in?
Over the last 5 games Stevenage have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Peterborough United 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stevenage vs Peterborough United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stevenage vs Peterborough United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.