Stevenage vs Port Vale: match statistics
Stevenage presents decisively better home form with 50% of matches won at home and an impressive +8 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.07 goals per home match while conceding just 0.5, and their 57% clean sheets in domestic matches testify to a solid defense. Port Vale sits at 24th place in the table with a catastrophic away record—57% losses, only 21% victories, and a negative goal difference of -12 on the road. The visitors fail to score in 57% of away matches, averaging just 0.64 goals while conceding 1.5 per match. Port Vale's form in the last five matches (0.8 points per match) is significantly worse than Stevenage's (1.4 points), and the difference in expected goals (xG 1.23 vs 1.16) further speaks in the hosts' favor. All statistical indicators unequivocally point to Stevenage's advantage, making a victory for the hosts the most probable scenario for this meeting.
Stevenage vs Port Vale: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stevenage played Port Vale in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 17 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Stevenage: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Port Vale: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stevenage scores 1.07 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Port Vale scores 0.79 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stevenage 47%, Port Vale 32%. Over 2.5: Stevenage 37%, Port Vale 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Port Vale has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.15. Stevenage: 9.7 shots per match, Port Vale: 11.9.
Match halves
Stevenage: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.70. Port Vale: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Stevenage: 46-60 (8 goals). Port Vale: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stevenage presents decisively better home form with 50% of matches won at home and an impressive +8 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.07 goals per home match while conceding just 0.5, and their 57% clean sheets in domestic matches testify to a solid defense. Port Vale sits at 24th place in the table with a catastrophic away record—57% losses, only 21% victories, and a negative goal difference of -12 on the road. The visitors fail to score in 57% of away matches, averaging just 0.64 goals while conceding 1.5 per match. Port Vale's form in the last five matches (0.8 points per match) is significantly worse than Stevenage's (1.4 points), and the difference in expected goals (xG 1.23 vs 1.16) further speaks in the hosts' favor. All statistical indicators unequivocally point to Stevenage's advantage, making a victory for the hosts the most probable scenario for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stevenage | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stevenage is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Stevenage · 0.8 pts / match - Port Vale
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stevenage is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Stevenage · 0.79 goals / match - Port Vale
Stevenage is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.43 goals / match - Port Vale
Stevenage scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Port Vale scores in 43% of matches (12 of 28 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stevenage
Over / Under - Port Vale
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stevenage is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Stevenage · 1 pts / match - Port Vale
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Port Vale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stevenage
Port Vale
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stevenage | Liga | Port Vale | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.07 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 68% | ▼ 46% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stevenage 1 - 0 - 0 Port Vale. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stevenage vs Port Vale?
The EFL League One match finished Stevenage 2:1 Port Vale. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stevenage vs Port Vale?
Stevenage score 1.07 goals per game on average and Port Vale 0.79. The EFL League One average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Stevenage's matches and 32% of Port Vale's.
What form are Stevenage and Port Vale in?
Over the last 5 games Stevenage have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Port Vale 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stevenage vs Port Vale?
The statistical background for Stevenage vs Port Vale — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.