Stevenage vs Reading: match statistics
The match appears evenly poised, suggesting a draw. Stevenage is displaying impressive home form with a 56% win rate and a solid goal difference (+10). However, Reading boasts better recent form (2.0 PPG vs 1.8 PPG) and superior away scoring efficiency (1.53 goals/match). The hosts are very strong at home with a 50% clean sheet rate, but Reading scores consistently (84% of matches with a goal). xG statistics show a slight home advantage for Stevenage (1.29 vs 1.24), yet Reading has a better shot conversion rate (14% vs 11%). Considering the hosts' defensive solidity and the visitors' attacking threat, the most probable outcome is a share of the points, although Stevenage holds a slight edge due to the home advantage.
Stevenage vs Reading: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stevenage played Reading in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Stevenage: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Reading: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stevenage scores 1.08 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Reading scores 1.50 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stevenage 49%, Reading 71%. Over 2.5: Stevenage 41%, Reading 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Reading has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.19. Stevenage: 9.9 shots per match, Reading: 11.3.
Match halves
Stevenage: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.62. Reading: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Stevenage: 46-60 (10 goals). Reading: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match appears evenly poised, suggesting a draw. Stevenage is displaying impressive home form with a 56% win rate and a solid goal difference (+10). However, Reading boasts better recent form (2.0 PPG vs 1.8 PPG) and superior away scoring efficiency (1.53 goals/match). The hosts are very strong at home with a 50% clean sheet rate, but Reading scores consistently (84% of matches with a goal). xG statistics show a slight home advantage for Stevenage (1.29 vs 1.24), yet Reading has a better shot conversion rate (14% vs 11%). Considering the hosts' defensive solidity and the visitors' attacking threat, the most probable outcome is a share of the points, although Stevenage holds a slight edge due to the home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stevenage | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Reading is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Stevenage · 2 pts / match - Reading
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Reading is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.08 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.5 goals / match - Reading
Stevenage is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Stevenage · 1.32 goals / match - Reading
Stevenage scores in 73% of matches (27 of 37 matches), while Reading keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
Reading scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 35% (13 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stevenage
Over / Under - Reading
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Reading is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Stevenage · 1.5 pts / match - Reading
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Reading - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stevenage
Reading
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Stevenage | Liga | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.62 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 53% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 26% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 51% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stevenage 0 - 0 - 1 Reading. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stevenage vs Reading?
The EFL League One match finished Stevenage 1:0 Reading. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stevenage vs Reading?
Stevenage score 1.08 goals per game on average and Reading 1.50. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Stevenage's matches and 71% of Reading's.
What form are Stevenage and Reading in?
Over the last 5 games Stevenage have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Reading 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stevenage vs Reading?
The statistical background for Stevenage vs Reading — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.