Stilon Gorzów vs ROW Rybnik: match statistics

Stilon Gorzów has a clear home advantage: they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded at home, while ROW Rybnik score only 0.67 goals away from home and allow opponents 2.67. The visitors have lost all three of their away matches so far, keeping no clean sheets and failing to score in 67% of those fixtures. Stilon are not in strong form either, recording just 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last five matches, but ROW have lost 3 of their last 5 and conceded 12 goals during that period. At home, the hosts create chances worth an average of 1.21 xG, while their defence allows opponents just 1.01 xG, contrasting with ROW’s away xG against of 1.40. ROW’s higher attacking xG away from home, at 2.26, suggests some potential for an upset, but their finishing and extremely poor away defence point more strongly towards a Stilon victory.

BTTS - Yes is more likely, as Stilon Gorzów has seen this outcome in 80% of their matches, while the figures for both teams across their last five games stand at 80% and 60%, respectively. The hosts are highly effective at home, scoring an average of 3.2 goals, whereas ROW Rybnik concedes as many as 2.67 goals per away match and has not kept a single clean sheet on the road. However, the visitors have a season average of just 0.67 goals scored, which clearly lowers confidence in the pick, although their recent attacking form has been stronger: they averaged 1.8 goals across their previous five matches. In addition, both teams create plenty of chances, with xG of 2.13 for the hosts and 2.26 for the visitors, while Stilon conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches. The hosts' advantage should see them find the net, but ROW's current attacking output and Stilon's vulnerable defence support the visitors to score as well.

Stilon Gorzów average 3.2 goals at home, while ROW Rybnik concede as many as 2.67 goals per away game, clearly supporting an attacking scenario for the hosts. In their last five matches, both teams have scored 1.8 goals per game, with ROW allowing opponents an average of 2.4 goals. The 1.5 line was surpassed in 100% of Stilon’s matches and in 67% of ROW’s games, while the league average stands at a high 2.99 goals. Additionally, both teams’ average xG figures are high, at 2.13 for Stilon and 2.26 for ROW, despite the visitors’ inconsistent finishing. The strongest option is Over 1.5 goals, as just two goals require significantly less than the projected combined potential of 2.96 goals.

The strongest HT/FT scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Stilon win, as the hosts were level at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while ROW recorded half-time draws in 2 of their 3 away fixtures of this type. Stilon’s advantage grows significantly after the break: they score an average of 2.4 goals, while ROW concede as many as 2.0 goals per match in the second half. The hosts have won 60% of second halves and collected 10 points in those periods, whereas the visitors have lost every such segment and have failed to keep a single clean sheet. Over the course of the season, Stilon average 3.2 goals scored, while ROW concede 2.67 per match, further strengthening the forecast of a home turnaround after a more cautious opening.