Scotland - League TwoData current as of 13 September 2026

Stirling Albion vs East Kilbride: match statistics

125%(3.85)
X30%(3.80)
245%(1.70)

East Kilbride demonstrates a clear advantage in key offensive and defensive statistics. The visitors sit 2nd in the table and possess a much stronger away record (44% wins) compared to Stirling Albion's mere 11% home win rate. East Kilbride averages 1.78 goals per away match with a 22% shot conversion rate, while the hosts manage only 1 goal on average at home with 13% efficiency. Stirling Albion concedes an average of 1.78 goals in home games and holds a negative goal difference (-7), indicating defensive issues. Despite East Kilbride's dip in form over the last 5 matches, their overall away quality and possession advantage (55% vs 47%) give them a realistic chance of victory. However, the hosts' high draw percentage (44%) suggests that a share of the points cannot be ruled out.

Stirling Albion vs East Kilbride: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stirling Albion played East Kilbride in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Stirling Albion: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. East Kilbride: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stirling Albion scores 1.42 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. East Kilbride scores 1.89 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.02 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stirling Albion 68%, East Kilbride 67%. Over 2.5: Stirling Albion 63%, East Kilbride 67%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 58%.

xG, shots and style

East Kilbride has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.13. Stirling Albion: 8.2 shots per match, East Kilbride: 9.5.

Match halves

Stirling Albion: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.89. East Kilbride: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.61.

Goals by minute

Stirling Albion: 76-90+ (9 goals). East Kilbride: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 58%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

East Kilbride demonstrates a clear advantage in key offensive and defensive statistics. The visitors sit 2nd in the table and possess a much stronger away record (44% wins) compared to Stirling Albion's mere 11% home win rate. East Kilbride averages 1.78 goals per away match with a 22% shot conversion rate, while the hosts manage only 1 goal on average at home with 13% efficiency. Stirling Albion concedes an average of 1.78 goals in home games and holds a negative goal difference (-7), indicating defensive issues. Despite East Kilbride's dip in form over the last 5 matches, their overall away quality and possession advantage (55% vs 47%) give them a realistic chance of victory. However, the hosts' high draw percentage (44%) suggests that a share of the points cannot be ruled out.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
10Shots16
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
7Shots on target7
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
1.47xG1.83
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
5Corners8
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
49Dangerous attacks47
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
10Fouls19
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
3Cards4
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
1.42Goals scored / match1.89
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
1.79Goals conceded / match1.33
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
47%Average possession54%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
4.26Shots on target / match4.78
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.16Shots per match9.5
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
4.26Shots on target4.78
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
17.4%Shot conversion19.9%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
47%Possession54%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
1.13xG for1.37
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
1.57xG against1.23
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

Shooting quality

Stirling Albion: Counter-attackingEast Kilbride: Efficient finishing
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
Accuracy (shots on target)52%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stirling Albion is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Stirling Albion · 1 pts / match - East Kilbride

Stirling Albion
LDWWW
Season result split
32% W26% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-8
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-4-4
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
East Kilbride
DWLLD
Season result split
44% W28% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-5
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

East Kilbride is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.42 goals / match - Stirling Albion · 1.89 goals / match - East Kilbride

East Kilbride is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.79 goals / match - Stirling Albion · 1.33 goals / match - East Kilbride

Stirling Albion scoring profile: very strong

Stirling Albion scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while East Kilbride keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).

East Kilbride scoring profile: very strong

East Kilbride scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).

27Goals scored (season)34
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
34Goals conceded (season)24
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
3.21Average goals in match3.22
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
11Goals scored (last 5)6
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal94%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
53%2 goals50%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
11%3 goals33%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
5%4 goals6%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal72%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
42%2 goals44%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
32%3 goals17%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
16%4 goals0%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

69%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time33%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
11%BTTS in both halves0%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
37%Scored in both halves22%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
100%BTTS - last 560%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time89%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time61%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time44%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time22%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

East Kilbride is 106% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.89 pts / match - Stirling Albion · 1.83 pts / match - East Kilbride

Stirling Albion - half-time state
21% leading26% draw53% trailing
East Kilbride - half-time state
56% leading17% draw28% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.89Points per match (1st half)1.83
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
0.53Goals scored (1st half)1.28
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
0.95Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
1.47Average goals (1st half)2.06
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
42%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
58%No goal before half-time22%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

After half-time (2nd half)

1.26Points per match (2nd half)1.28
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
0.89Goals scored (2nd half)0.61
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)0.56
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
1.74Average goals (2nd half)1.17
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
37%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride
32%No goal after half-time61%
Stirling AlbionEast Kilbride

Stirling Albion - second-half results

26% W47% D26% L
17
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

East Kilbride - second-half results

33% W28% D39% L
33
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 44%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stirling Albion - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
East Kilbride - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.60
Goals scored / match1.20.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match2.20.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals80%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%100%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stirling Albion
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
6
16-30
3
9
31-45
2
3
46-60
6
6
61-75
9
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

East Kilbride
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
7
5
16-30
10
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stirling Albion

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.79
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

East Kilbride

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Stirling AlbionLigaEast Kilbride
Average goals in match 3.213.02 3.22
Both teams scored 68%69% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%58% 67%
Clean sheets 11%18% 28%
Goal before half-time 79%79% 89%
Goal after half-time 89%79% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.02
Average goals per match
69%
Both teams scored
58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
18%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.60
Away goals / match
+-11%
Home attack advantage
+-13%
Home defence advantage
+-6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Stirling AlbionYellow cardArran Kerr
  2. East KilbrideGoalJohn RobertsonAssist: Bobby McLuckie
  3. East KilbrideGoalJoão BaldéAssist: Ben Williamson
  4. Stirling AlbionYellow cardRussell McLean
  5. East KilbrideYellow cardRhys Breen
  6. Stirling AlbionYellow cardRyan Shanley
  7. East KilbrideYellow cardBen Williamson
  8. Stirling AlbionSubstitutionOn: Dale HilsonOff: Adam Brown
  9. East KilbrideYellow cardJoão Baldé
  10. Stirling AlbionSubstitutionOn: Ross CunninghamOff: Dylan Wells
  11. East KilbrideSubstitutionOn: Connor YoungOff: João Baldé
  12. Stirling AlbionSubstitutionOn: Christopher EadieOff: Robbie McNab
  13. Stirling AlbionGoalChristopher Eadie
  14. East KilbrideYellow cardCraig Hepburn

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Cameron StirlingMatches officiated: 10
4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 220%Home wins30%Draws50%Away wins

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Stirling Albion 0 - 0 - 2 East Kilbride. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

East Kilbride FC
2 : 0
Stirling Albion FC
Stirling Albion FC
2 : 3
East Kilbride FC

FAQ

What was the result of Stirling Albion vs East Kilbride?

The League Two match finished Stirling Albion 1:2 East Kilbride. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Stirling Albion and East Kilbride?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stirling Albion won 0, East Kilbride won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Stirling Albion vs East Kilbride?

Stirling Albion score 1.42 goals per game on average and East Kilbride 1.89. The League Two average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Stirling Albion's matches and 67% of East Kilbride's.

What form are Stirling Albion and East Kilbride in?

Over the last 5 games Stirling Albion have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and East Kilbride 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stirling Albion vs East Kilbride?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stirling Albion vs East Kilbride: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.