Stirling Albion vs Edinburgh City: match statistics
Edinburgh City appear to be the favorites for this match despite playing away. The visitors have a significantly better away record (40% wins) compared to Stirling Albion's mere 13% wins at home. Edinburgh City boast a higher shot conversion rate (15% vs 11%) and a better average goals scored away (1.2 vs 0.93 for the hosts at home). Stirling Albion are in terrible form, having failed to win any of their last 5 matches (0W-3D-2L), while Edinburgh City have collected 4 points in that period. Furthermore, the hosts have a negative goal difference of -12 in home matches and a staggering 47% loss rate at their own stadium. Considering all statistics, Edinburgh City have a genuine chance of winning, although the poor form of both teams means a draw also remains a likely scenario.
Stirling Albion vs Edinburgh City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stirling Albion played Edinburgh City in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Stirling Albion: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Edinburgh City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stirling Albion scores 1.27 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Edinburgh City scores 1.30 and concedes 1.93. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stirling Albion 60%, Edinburgh City 70%. Over 2.5: Stirling Albion 57%, Edinburgh City 67%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Edinburgh City has higher xG: 1.21 vs 1.11. Stirling Albion: 8.2 shots per match, Edinburgh City: 9.1.
Match halves
Stirling Albion: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.83. Edinburgh City: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Stirling Albion: 76-90+ (12 goals). Edinburgh City: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Edinburgh City appear to be the favorites for this match despite playing away. The visitors have a significantly better away record (40% wins) compared to Stirling Albion's mere 13% wins at home. Edinburgh City boast a higher shot conversion rate (15% vs 11%) and a better average goals scored away (1.2 vs 0.93 for the hosts at home). Stirling Albion are in terrible form, having failed to win any of their last 5 matches (0W-3D-2L), while Edinburgh City have collected 4 points in that period. Furthermore, the hosts have a negative goal difference of -12 in home matches and a staggering 47% loss rate at their own stadium. Considering all statistics, Edinburgh City have a genuine chance of winning, although the poor form of both teams means a draw also remains a likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stirling Albion boasts a very high seasonal BTTS rate (80%) and an extremely low clean sheet percentage (7%), which, combined with an average of 2.33 goals conceded per game, strongly favors the away team scoring. Edinburgh City, despite lower productivity in their last 5 matches (0.8 goals/game), still generates decent xG (1.06 season; 1.09 last 5), while Stirling's defense allows a lot (2.14 xGA last 5). On the other hand, Stirling scores regularly (1.4 goals/game; 5.2 shots on target), and Edinburgh City concedes an average of 1.53 goals this season and 2.0 in their last 5, increasing the chances of a home goal. The combination of Stirling's high-scoring matches (Over 2.5: 80%) and the league's above-average BTTS rate (64%) supports a goals-from-both-sides scenario. The only clear mitigating factor is Edinburgh's low BTTS rate in their last 5 (20%), however, given their high number of goals conceded (10) and the hosts' poor defense, BTTS - Yes remains the more probable outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project around 2.75 goals, as both defenses allow numerous chances: Stirling concedes an average of 2.33 goals per match, 2.2 in the last 5 matches, while Edinburgh concedes 2.0 in their last 5. xG metrics also support goals: xG for is 1.35 (Stirling) and 1.06 (Edinburgh), with xG against at 1.32 and 1.12, suggesting consistent chance creation and concession. Goal trends are high for lower lines (Over 1.5: 93% for Stirling and 80% for Edinburgh), and BTTS for Stirling reaches 80%, raising the baseline for at least 2 goals. The Over 2.5 market is near the threshold (seasonally 80% vs 53%, league-wide 56%), so confidence is moderate despite high Over 2.5 rates in the last 5 matches for both sides. The strongest signal is for Over 1.5, as even with offensive dips in recent matches, both teams have a tendency to concede and a low clean sheet probability (Stirling only 7%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Edinburgh City have significantly better performance metrics this season (1.53 PPG and a 40% win rate) than Stirling Albion (0.73 PPG and just a 13% win rate), reinforcing the scenario of an away win by full-time. Stirling concede a very high number of goals (2.33 per match) and have an extremely low clean sheet rate (7%), so even with a decent attacking xG (1.35), they lose more often than they earn points. Crucial for the HT/FT market is that the hosts trail at the break in as many as 53% of their matches, while Edinburgh are far more likely to keep things tight (0.8 goals conceded on average in the first half and 53% clean sheets by HT). In the second half, the visitors' defensive superiority is also evident (0.73 goals conceded vs 1.2 for Stirling), which favors them holding on to a lead. Additionally, Stirling's high BTTS rate (80%) and the high average goals in their matches (3.73) indicate frequent scoring, but with such a weak home defense, this more often translates into a result favorable to the opponent. The most logical and strongest bet is 2/2, meaning Edinburgh City lead at the break and win the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stirling Albion | Edinburgh City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Edinburgh City is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Stirling Albion · 0.8 pts / match - Edinburgh City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stirling Albion is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Stirling Albion · 1.93 goals / match - Edinburgh City
Stirling Albion scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Edinburgh City keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
Edinburgh City scores in 77% of matches (23 of 30 matches), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stirling Albion
Over / Under - Edinburgh City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Edinburgh City is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Stirling Albion · 1.13 pts / match - Edinburgh City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stirling Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Edinburgh City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -8 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -7 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stirling Albion
Edinburgh City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Stirling Albion | Liga | Edinburgh City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.03 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 64% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 57% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 75% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Stirling Albion 2 - 0 - 1 Edinburgh City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stirling Albion vs Edinburgh City?
The League Two match finished Stirling Albion 1:0 Edinburgh City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stirling Albion and Edinburgh City?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stirling Albion won 2, Edinburgh City won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stirling Albion vs Edinburgh City?
Stirling Albion score 1.27 goals per game on average and Edinburgh City 1.30. The League Two average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Stirling Albion's matches and 70% of Edinburgh City's.
What form are Stirling Albion and Edinburgh City in?
Over the last 5 games Stirling Albion have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Edinburgh City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stirling Albion vs Edinburgh City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.