Stirling Albion vs Forfar Athletic: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest between teams of similar potential. Stirling Albion presents poor home form with only a 14% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-9), conceding an average of 1.64 goals per match. Forfar Athletic has slightly better recent form (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG for the hosts), but they win only 17% of their away matches. Both teams share high draw percentages (43% for the hosts in home games, 33% for the visitors away), which, alongside similar xG values (1.11 vs 1.00), suggests a sharing of points. A slight ball possession advantage for the visitors (48% vs 46%) and better efficiency (16% vs 11%) are offset by the home-field advantage and Stirling's slightly better defense in terms of xGA.
Stirling Albion vs Forfar Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stirling Albion played Forfar Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Stirling Albion: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Forfar Athletic: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stirling Albion scores 1.29 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Forfar Athletic scores 1.38 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stirling Albion 61%, Forfar Athletic 58%. Over 2.5: Stirling Albion 54%, Forfar Athletic 54%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Stirling Albion: 8.4 shots per match, Forfar Athletic: 7.8.
Match halves
Stirling Albion: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.82. Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Stirling Albion: 76-90+ (11 goals). Forfar Athletic: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest between teams of similar potential. Stirling Albion presents poor home form with only a 14% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-9), conceding an average of 1.64 goals per match. Forfar Athletic has slightly better recent form (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG for the hosts), but they win only 17% of their away matches. Both teams share high draw percentages (43% for the hosts in home games, 33% for the visitors away), which, alongside similar xG values (1.11 vs 1.00), suggests a sharing of points. A slight ball possession advantage for the visitors (48% vs 46%) and better efficiency (16% vs 11%) are offset by the home-field advantage and Stirling's slightly better defense in terms of xGA.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stirling Albion | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 50% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forfar Athletic is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Stirling Albion · 1.6 pts / match - Forfar Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forfar Athletic is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Stirling Albion · 1.38 goals / match - Forfar Athletic
Forfar Athletic is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Stirling Albion · 1.46 goals / match - Forfar Athletic
Stirling Albion scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Forfar Athletic scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Stirling Albion keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stirling Albion
Over / Under - Forfar Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forfar Athletic is 85% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Stirling Albion · 1.85 pts / match - Forfar Athletic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stirling Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Forfar Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 31%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stirling Albion
Forfar Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Stirling Albion | Liga | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.96 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 61% | 64% | ▼ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 54% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Stirling Albion 1 - 0 - 2 Forfar Athletic. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stirling Albion vs Forfar Athletic?
The League Two match finished Stirling Albion 0:3 Forfar Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stirling Albion and Forfar Athletic?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stirling Albion won 1, Forfar Athletic won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stirling Albion vs Forfar Athletic?
Stirling Albion score 1.29 goals per game on average and Forfar Athletic 1.38. The League Two average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Stirling Albion's matches and 58% of Forfar Athletic's.
What form are Stirling Albion and Forfar Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Stirling Albion have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Forfar Athletic 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stirling Albion vs Forfar Athletic?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.