Stjarnan vs ÍA: match statistics
Stjarnan vs ÍA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stjarnan played ÍA in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 3 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Stjarnan: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match. ÍA: 0-2-2, 0.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stjarnan scores 2.50 and concedes 2.75 goals per match. ÍA scores 1.00 and concedes 2.25. League average: 3.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stjarnan 100%, ÍA 50%. Over 2.5: Stjarnan 100%, ÍA 50%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 69%.
xG, shots and style
Stjarnan has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.66. Stjarnan: 14.8 shots per match, ÍA: 13.5.
Match halves
Stjarnan: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. ÍA: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Stjarnan: 0-15 (3 goals). ÍA: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 3.81 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 69%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stjarnan are favorites thanks to a clear advantage in chance creation and finishing: at home they average 20.5 shots, 7.5 on target and 2.5 goals per game with xG 2.46, while ÍA away average 12 shots, 5 on target and 1.0 goal with xG 1.54. The hosts also register 68% possession in home matches and have never failed to score at home (0% of home games without a goal), whereas the visitors average 48% possession and fail to score in 67% of away matches, which constitutes a significant offensive edge for Stjarnan. Both teams are, however, vulnerable defensively — Stjarnan concede 3.0 goals per home game on average (despite xG against 1.53), and ÍA concede 2.67 goals on the road, so I expect an open game with several goals (hosts’ matches average 5.5 goals). Form favors the favorite: Stjarnan in the last 5 matches have a record of 3 wins and 2 losses with an average of 1.8 points per game, while ÍA in that period have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with 1.0 point per game. Based on this I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stjarnan gives a very strong signal for BTTS - Yes: season metrics show 100% of matches with both teams scoring and 100% in the last 5 fixtures; in those last 5 Stjarnan averages 2.4 scored and 2.4 conceded. ÍA presents a weaker BTTS signal — 33% on the season — having scored 4 and conceded 9 this season (avg 1.0 for and 2.67 against), and in the last 5 averaging 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded. xG and shot metrics favor goals from both sides: Stjarnan has xG for 2.03 with xG against 1.48, while ÍA has xG for 1.54 and xG against 1.57; the hosts average 18 shots and 7 on target versus 12 and 5 for the visitors, suggesting Stjarnan will create more chances. Additionally, the league environment is high-scoring (BTTS 71% and 3.88 goals per match on average), and the fact Stjarnan has 100% BTTS in the last 5 with high xG and higher shot volume increases the likelihood both teams score at least once. Given the contrast 100% vs 33% season BTTS, Stjarnan’s high xG (2.03) and ÍA’s defensive vulnerability (2.67 conceded season avg), I recommend BTTS = Yes with an estimated 80% vs 20%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.80 expected goals for Stjarnan (attacking xG 2.03 vs ÍA defensive xG 1.57 averages 1.80) and 1.51 for ÍA (xG 1.54 vs Stjarnan defensive xG 1.48), yielding a total of 3.31 goals. This is close to the league average of 3.88 and confirms the league’s tendency toward high-scoring games. In the last 5 matches Stjarnan has averaged 2.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, while ÍA concedes 2.67 goals per game this season, so both defensive units are vulnerable. Additionally, Stjarnan averages 18 shots (7 on target) versus ÍA’s 12 (5 on target), and Stjarnan has 100% BTTS, which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. For these reasons the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (≈84% probability); Over 2.5 also has a high probability (≈64%) but is less certain.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Stjarnan led at the break in 100% of their home matches this season and average 1.0 goal by half-time versus 0.0 for ÍA, which strongly supports the home side leading after the first 45 minutes. Over the full match the hosts generate higher xG at 2.03 versus 1.54 for the opponents and average 18 shots (7 on target) compared to ÍA’s 12 (5 on target), while the visitors concede an average of 2.67 goals per game, so the offensive superiority and the opponent’s defensive vulnerability increase Stjarnan’s chances of victory. At the same time ÍA score an average of 1.0 goals in the second half, mainly in the 46–60 minute window, and Stjarnan concede an average of 1.0 goals after the break, which raises the risk of a comeback and increases the probability of a draw or a turnaround after half-time. In the last five matches the hosts scored 11 goals by half-time versus 4 for ÍA and have a half-time goals average of 2.2 versus 0.8 for the opponents, further confirming Stjarnan’s tendency to take an early lead. Based on this I select 1/1 as the strongest signal with an estimated probability of 45%, while scenarios 1/X (~12%) and X/X (~10%) remain realistic due to the visitors’ second-half activity.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stjarnan | ÍA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stjarnan is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Stjarnan · 0.5 pts / match - ÍA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stjarnan is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
2.5 goals / match - Stjarnan · 1 goals / match - ÍA
ÍA is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.75 goals / match - Stjarnan · 2.25 goals / match - ÍA
Stjarnan scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while ÍA keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
ÍA scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stjarnan
Over / Under - ÍA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stjarnan is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Stjarnan · 1.25 pts / match - ÍA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stjarnan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
ÍA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stjarnan
ÍA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Stjarnan | Liga | ÍA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 5.25 | 3.81 | ▼ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 69% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 17% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Stjarnan 2 - 0 - 0 ÍA. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stjarnan vs ÍA?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Stjarnan 1:2 ÍA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stjarnan and ÍA?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stjarnan won 2, ÍA won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stjarnan vs ÍA?
Stjarnan score 2.50 goals per game on average and ÍA 1.00. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Stjarnan's matches and 50% of ÍA's.
What form are Stjarnan and ÍA in?
Over the last 5 games Stjarnan have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and ÍA 0-2-2 (0.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stjarnan vs ÍA?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stjarnan vs ÍA: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.