Stjarnan vs KA: match statistics
Stjarnan vs KA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stjarnan played KA in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match was played on 28 June 2026. Venue: Samsung völlurinn. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Stjarnan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. KA: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stjarnan scores 1.92 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. KA scores 1.45 and concedes 2.00. League average: 4.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stjarnan 92%, KA 64%. Over 2.5: Stjarnan 83%, KA 55%. League level: BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
Stjarnan has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.65. Stjarnan: 14.8 shots per match, KA: 14.6.
Match halves
Stjarnan: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.92. KA: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Stjarnan: 0-15 (5 goals). KA: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.06 goals per match, BTTS 72%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistically both teams present similar offensive capabilities: Stjarnan scored 23 goals this season (10 in the last 5 matches) and KA 16 goals (9 in the last 5), with an average xG of 1.85 for the home side versus 1.79 for KA on the road. The hosts dominate possession (57% vs 46%) and average 6 shots on target per home match with 15 total shots, compared to 4.8 on target and 14.8 total for KA, indicating superior chance creation by Stjarnan. However, the home defence is vulnerable — Stjarnan concedes an average of 2.71 goals per home match (28 conceded this season, 13 in the last 5), and the hosts have 0% clean sheets at home versus 20% for KA away. Additionally, Stjarnan win only 14% of home matches, while KA win 40% of their away games, and over the last 5 fixtures they average 0.8 points (Stjarnan) versus 0.6 points (KA), giving the visitors an edge in converting chances into results. Considering Stjarnan’s poor goal protection, KA’s better away metrics and the fact both teams frequently score and concede (average goals when home 4.57 and away 3.6), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS as highly likely and assign 85% to 'yes' vs 15% to 'no', because in the Úrvalsdeild BTTS occurs in 72% of matches, KA has 80% season-long BTTS, and Stjarnan has 100% BTTS in the last 5 fixtures. Both teams score and concede heavily: this season Stjarnan averages 1.33 goals (23 for, 28 against), KA 1.6 (16 for, 22 against); in the last 5 matches Stjarnan scores 2.0 and concedes 2.6 (10 for, 13 against), KA scores 1.8 and concedes 2.8 (9 for, 14 against). xG and chance analysis confirm this: last 5 xG are 1.82 (Stjarnan) and 1.84 (KA), with xG against 1.63 and 2.01; average shots 14.5 vs 14.8 and shots on target 4.33 vs 4.8 with conversion rates 9% and 11% show both sides create real chances. Additionally, clean sheet rates are low (17% home, 20% away), the league has a high average of 4.06 goals per game and over 2.5 occurs in 50–60% of home/away matches, which supports a both-sides-to-score scenario. Given the consistent and strong signals (72% league, 80% KA season, 100% Stjarnan in L5 and high goals conceded 2.0–2.8), the most confident pick is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams generate plenty of chances: Stjarnan’s xG is 1.54 while xG against them vs KA is 2.07, yielding an expected goals for the home side of ~1.81; conversely KA’s xG is 1.79 and xG against vs Stjarnan is 1.66, giving an expected 1.72 for the away side (total 3.53). Seasonally both teams have a high share of matches over 1.5 goals: 83% for Stjarnan and 80% for KA, and the league average is as high as 4.06 goals per game, which favors overs. A Poisson model with 3.53 goals per match gives roughly an 87% chance of Over 1.5, about 69% for Over 2.5 and around 47% for Over 3.5. Additionally, in the last 5 matches Stjarnan has 1.82 xG, KA 1.84 xG, and in those five fixtures Stjarnan had 100% of games over 2.5 while KA had 80%, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals. Based on this, the strongest and most reliable signal is a bet on Over 1.5 (highest probability and strong statistical support).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a KA win after the match (X/2); KA has a 40% win rate this season versus Stjarnan’s 17% and averages 1.4 points per match compared to the home side’s 0.5. At half-time the visitors average 0.0 goals while Stjarnan averages 0.83 first-half goals and 12 HT goals versus 5 for KA; the percentage of half-time draws is 33% (Stjarnan) and 40% (KA), so a draw HT is realistic. In the second half KA dominates — 80% of second-half wins and an average of 2.4 points in the second half, and the visitors scored 7 goals in minutes 61–90 (3 in 61–75 and 4 in 76–90) versus 2 goals for the home side in that period, suggesting a turnaround after the break. Additionally, xG of 1.79 for KA versus 1.54 for Stjarnan and a higher shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%) argue that KA has greater scoring potential after the break, hence X/2 as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stjarnan | KA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stjarnan is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Stjarnan · 0.6 pts / match - KA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stjarnan is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.92 goals / match - Stjarnan · 1.45 goals / match - KA
KA is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Stjarnan · 2 goals / match - KA
Stjarnan scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while KA keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
KA scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Stjarnan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stjarnan
Over / Under - KA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stjarnan is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Stjarnan · 0.64 pts / match - KA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stjarnan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stjarnan
KA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Stjarnan | Liga | KA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.25 | 4.06 | ▼ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 92% | 72% | ▼ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 72% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 14% | ▲ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 84% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 88% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Stjarnan 2 - 1 - 0 KA. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stjarnan vs KA?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Stjarnan 3:1 KA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Stjarnan and KA?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Stjarnan won 2, KA won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Stjarnan vs KA?
Stjarnan score 1.92 goals per game on average and KA 1.45. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 92% of Stjarnan's matches and 64% of KA's.
What form are Stjarnan and KA in?
Over the last 5 games Stjarnan have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and KA 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stjarnan vs KA?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stjarnan vs KA: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.