England - ChampionshipBet365 StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Stoke City vs Bristol City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Stoke City vs Bristol City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stoke City play Bristol City in Championship (England). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Bet365 Stadium.

Current form

Stoke City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Bristol City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stoke City scores 1.64 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Bristol City scores 1.09 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stoke City 73%, Bristol City 55%. Over 2.5: Stoke City 73%, Bristol City 45%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Bristol City has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.23. Stoke City: 11.4 shots per match, Bristol City: 14.1.

Match halves

Stoke City: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.64. Bristol City: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Stoke City: 0-15 (4 goals). Bristol City: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.37)
(3.30)
(2.90)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Stoke CityBristol City
1.64Goals scored / match1.09
Stoke CityBristol City
1.45Goals conceded / match1.36
Stoke CityBristol City
44%Average possession47%
Stoke CityBristol City
3.73Shots on target / match4.36
Stoke CityBristol City

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.45Shots per match14.09
Stoke CityBristol City
3.73Shots on target4.36
Stoke CityBristol City
14.3%Shot conversion7.7%
Stoke CityBristol City
44%Possession47%
Stoke CityBristol City
1.23xG for1.49
Stoke CityBristol City
1.74xG against1.28
Stoke CityBristol City

Shooting quality

Stoke City: Counter-attackingBristol City: Attacking
Stoke CityBristol City
Accuracy (shots on target)33%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stoke City is 200% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Stoke City · 0.8 pts / match - Bristol City

Stoke City
WWWLW
Season result split
55% W9% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-4
1.73 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Bristol City
LWDLL
Season result split
36% W18% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-5
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.59Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Stoke City is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.64 goals / match - Stoke City · 1.09 goals / match - Bristol City

Bristol City is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.45 goals / match - Stoke City · 1.36 goals / match - Bristol City

Stoke City scoring profile: very strong

Stoke City scores in 100% of matches (11 of 11 matches), while Bristol City keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).

Bristol City scoring profile: strong

Bristol City scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).

18Goals scored (season)12
Stoke CityBristol City
16Goals conceded (season)15
Stoke CityBristol City
3.09Average goals in match2.45
Stoke CityBristol City
9Goals scored (last 5)2
Stoke CityBristol City
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
Stoke CityBristol City

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal64%
Stoke CityBristol City
45%2 goals36%
Stoke CityBristol City
9%3 goals9%
Stoke CityBristol City
9%4 goals0%
Stoke CityBristol City

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal91%
Stoke CityBristol City
36%2 goals27%
Stoke CityBristol City
27%3 goals9%
Stoke CityBristol City
9%4 goals9%
Stoke CityBristol City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time18%
Stoke CityBristol City
0%BTTS in both halves9%
Stoke CityBristol City
18%Scored in both halves27%
Stoke CityBristol City

BTTS and goal count

64%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Stoke CityBristol City
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Stoke CityBristol City
80%BTTS - last 520%
Stoke CityBristol City

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Stoke CityBristol City
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Stoke CityBristol City
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Stoke CityBristol City

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Stoke CityBristol City
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Stoke CityBristol City
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Stoke CityBristol City

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stoke City is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.82 pts / match - Stoke City · 1.18 pts / match - Bristol City

Stoke City - half-time state
45% leading45% draw9% trailing
Bristol City - half-time state
27% leading36% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.82Points per match (1st half)1.18
Stoke CityBristol City
1Goals scored (1st half)0.45
Stoke CityBristol City
0.36Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Stoke CityBristol City
1.36Average goals (1st half)1
Stoke CityBristol City
73%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Stoke CityBristol City
27%No goal before half-time55%
Stoke CityBristol City

After half-time (2nd half)

0.91Points per match (2nd half)1.09
Stoke CityBristol City
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Stoke CityBristol City
1.09Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
Stoke CityBristol City
1.73Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Stoke CityBristol City
27%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Stoke CityBristol City
55%No goal after half-time55%
Stoke CityBristol City

Stoke City - second-half results

18% W36% D45% L
20
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding122%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bristol City - second-half results

18% W55% D27% L
13
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stoke City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.01.2
Average goals in match0.42.6
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Bristol City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.00.2
1 goal80%20%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stoke City
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
4
3
16-30
3
0
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
3
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Bristol City
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
3
4
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stoke City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Bristol City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.48
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
42% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
42%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Stoke CityLigaBristol City
Average goals in match▲ 3.092.88▼ 2.45
Both teams scored▲ 73%64%▼ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 73%61%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▲ 27%21%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▼ 73%77%▲ 82%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%79%▼ 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.58
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Stoke City 1 - 0 - 1 Bristol City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Bristol City FC
2 : 0
Stoke City FC
Stoke City FC
5 : 1
Bristol City FC

FAQ

When do Stoke City and Bristol City play?

Stoke City face Bristol City on 24 October 2026 in Championship at Bet365 Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Bristol City?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Stoke City won 1, Bristol City won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Stoke City vs Bristol City?

Stoke City score 1.64 goals per game on average and Bristol City 1.09. The Championship average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Stoke City's matches and 55% of Bristol City's.

What form are Stoke City and Bristol City in?

Over the last 5 games Stoke City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Bristol City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stoke City vs Bristol City?

The statistical background for Stoke City vs Bristol City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.