Stoke City vs Oxford United: match statistics
Stoke City presents a distinct advantage as the host in this clash. They occupy 16th place in the table, while Oxford United is in 23rd position, fighting for survival. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+5), whereas the visitors record a deficit of -7 on the road. Stoke averages 1.31 goals at home with an xG of 1.37 and concedes only 1 goal, indicating a solid defense. Oxford United has poor efficiency on away trips (0.88 goals on average, xG 1.06) and concedes as many as 1.29 goals against an xG against of 1.88, showing defensive problems. The form of both teams is weak (0.4 points per game each in the last 5 matches), but Stoke wins 38% of matches at home, while Oxford triumphs in only 18% of cases on the road. Taking all statistics into account, Stoke City has a real chance for victory, though Oxford may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a draw.
Stoke City vs Oxford United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stoke City played Oxford United in Championship (England). The match was played on 25 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Stoke City: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Oxford United: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stoke City scores 1.09 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Oxford United scores 0.85 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stoke City 36%, Oxford United 52%. Over 2.5: Stoke City 39%, Oxford United 48%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Stoke City has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.25. Stoke City: 11.0 shots per match, Oxford United: 11.8.
Match halves
Stoke City: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.61. Oxford United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.27.
Goals by minute
Stoke City: 46-60 (8 goals). Oxford United: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stoke City presents a distinct advantage as the host in this clash. They occupy 16th place in the table, while Oxford United is in 23rd position, fighting for survival. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+5), whereas the visitors record a deficit of -7 on the road. Stoke averages 1.31 goals at home with an xG of 1.37 and concedes only 1 goal, indicating a solid defense. Oxford United has poor efficiency on away trips (0.88 goals on average, xG 1.06) and concedes as many as 1.29 goals against an xG against of 1.88, showing defensive problems. The form of both teams is weak (0.4 points per game each in the last 5 matches), but Stoke wins 38% of matches at home, while Oxford triumphs in only 18% of cases on the road. Taking all statistics into account, Stoke City has a real chance for victory, though Oxford may put up resistance, justifying a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stoke City | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stoke City is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Stoke City · 0.4 pts / match - Oxford United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stoke City is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Stoke City · 0.85 goals / match - Oxford United
Stoke City is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Stoke City · 1.33 goals / match - Oxford United
Stoke City scores in 61% of matches (20 of 33 matches), while Oxford United keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 33 matches).
Oxford United scores in 55% of matches (18 of 33 matches), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stoke City
Over / Under - Oxford United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stoke City is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Stoke City · 1.09 pts / match - Oxford United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Oxford United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stoke City
Oxford United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Stoke City | Liga | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.03 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 71% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 78% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stoke City 1 - 0 - 0 Oxford United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stoke City vs Oxford United?
The Championship match finished Stoke City 2:1 Oxford United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stoke City vs Oxford United?
Stoke City score 1.09 goals per game on average and Oxford United 0.85. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Stoke City's matches and 52% of Oxford United's.
What form are Stoke City and Oxford United in?
Over the last 5 games Stoke City have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Oxford United 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stoke City vs Oxford United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stoke City vs Oxford United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.