Strømmen vs Bryne: match statistics

Bryne come into this match having won 4 of their last 5 games, with a goal difference of 8:3, while Strømmen have scored 13 goals over the same period but conceded as many as 12. The hosts sit 13th in the table and concede an average of 2.4 goals per home match, while their defence keeps a clean sheet in only 20% of games. Bryne are higher in the standings, in 7th place, and away from home they allow opponents an average of 1.3 goals while recording clean sheets in 30% of matches. The visitors also create slightly better chances, as reflected by their average xG of 1.55 compared with Strømmen’s 1.38, and they register more shots per match: 12.2 to 10.9. Strømmen’s home advantage is further weakened by the fact that they have won only 30% of their home matches and have a negative goal difference of -11, making a Bryne victory the more likely outcome.

Strømmen have recorded BTTS in 60% of their matches this season, while both teams scored in all of their last five fixtures; during that run, the team averaged 2.6 goals scored and 2.4 conceded. Bryne have a clearly weaker season-long BTTS profile at just 20%, and they failed to score in 50% of their matches, significantly increasing the risk of a BTTS - No scenario due to no goal from the visitors. Despite this, Bryne averaged 1.6 goals scored across their last five matches, with an xG of 1.41, while Strømmen allowed opponents an xG of 1.78. The hosts should also create chances, as their season xG stands at 1.61, while Bryne have an average xG against of 1.60 away from home. The stronger attacking indicators and Strømmen’s very poor recent defensive record provide a slight indication towards BTTS - Yes, although Bryne’s low scoring consistency limits confidence in the pick.

Strømmen create chances worth an average of 1.61 xG, while Bryne allow opponents 1.60 xG, clearly supporting the hosts’ attacking potential. The visitors generate 1.55 xG per match and average 5.0 shots on target, while Strømmen’s defence concedes an average of 1.04 xG. In their last five matches, Strømmen have scored 13 goals and conceded 12, with Over 2.5 goals landing in all five games. However, the Over 1.5 goals line is the safest option: on a season-long basis, at least two goals have been scored in 80% of Strømmen’s matches and 70% of Bryne’s, with a projected total of 2.85 goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Bryne win at full-time, as Bryne were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches, scoring just 0.2 goals before half-time and conceding none during that period. Strømmen do have the advantage in first-half performance across the season, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.3 conceded, but Bryne have kept a clean sheet at half-time in 50% of their matches. After the interval, the form advantage shifts to the visitors: in their last five matches, Bryne averaged 1.4 goals scored in the second half and 0.6 conceded, winning that half in 80% of games. In their last five appearances, Strømmen conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match despite scoring 2.6 themselves, increasing the likelihood of Bryne deciding an open game after the break. Bryne also have the better recent results record, winning 80% of their last five matches compared with Strømmen’s 60%.