Strømmen vs Ranheim: match statistics

Strømmen are only 15th in the standings, but they have collected 7 points from their last five matches, thanks to 3 wins, while conceding just 4 goals during that period. Ranheim sit eighth, yet their current run stands at 4 defeats in 5 games, with a 10:17 goal difference. The visitors lose 86% of their away matches, concede an average of 3.29 goals and have kept no clean sheets, which significantly weakens their prospects. Strømmen also have defensive issues at home, allowing an average of 2.38 goals, but Ranheim produce only 1.33 xG away from home while conceding 2.00 xG. The hosts should exploit their opponents’ poor defensive form, although the high number of goals conceded by both sides increases the risk of an even, open game.

The long-term profile clearly favors goals from both sides: BTTS occurred in 89% of Strømmen’s matches and 71% of Ranheim’s, compared with the league average of 61%. Strømmen have not been held scoreless in any league match, while Ranheim have kept no clean sheets, strongly supporting a home goal. Ranheim average 1.57 goals scored, while Strømmen concede 2.00, and the visitors have scored 2.0 goals per game across their last five matches. The hosts also produce a solid 1.98 xG and register 6.78 shots on target per match, while Ranheim concede an average of 3.29 goals. Although Strømmen recorded BTTS in only 40% of their last five appearances and conceded just 0.8 goals per game during that period, Ranheim’s defensive crisis, with 17 goals conceded in five matches, keeps the BTTS scenario as the stronger option.

Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their league matches so far, while the league-wide average stands at a high 3.77 goals. Strømmen create chances worth an average of 1.98 xG at home and register 17.22 shots per match, while Ranheim concede as many as 3.29 goals away from home and allow opponents 2.00 xG. Ranheim score an average of 1.57 goals away from home, while Strømmen have kept a clean sheet in only 11% of matches, giving the visitors a realistic path to scoring. Even with the hosts' improved recent defensive record, having conceded just 0.8 goals per match across their last five games, Ranheim's defensive weakness—highlighted by 3.4 goals conceded per match over their last five—strongly supports at least two goals. Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, as it combines both teams' perfect season-long consistency with a projected 3.40 goals in the match.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Strømmen win in the match, as the hosts were level at the break in 80% of their last five games, while Ranheim were trailing at half-time in 60% of their matches during this period. Strømmen have a clear advantage over the course of the season: they win 56% of their matches and average 1.89 points per game, whereas Ranheim have lost 86% of their fixtures and average just 0.43 points. After the break, the hosts score an average of 1.89 goals, while the visitors concede as many as 2.29, strongly supporting a later turnaround in Strømmen’s favour. The hosts’ attacking potential is further evidenced by an xG of 1.98 compared with Ranheim’s 1.33, as well as an average of 6.78 shots on target per match versus 4.43 for the visitors. A more cautious start is nevertheless likely, as Strømmen have scored only 0.4 goals before half-time in their last five matches, while conceding just 0.2.