Strømsgodset vs Egersund: match statistics

Strømsgodset are very strong at home: they have won 75% of their matches, remain unbeaten there and average 2.88 goals per game. The hosts also create significantly more chances, averaging 22 shots and 8.5 on target per match, with an xG of 2.49 compared with Egersund’s 1.48 away from home. The key factor is the visitors’ defensive weakness on the road, where they concede an average of 2.71 goals, have lost 71% of their matches and have kept just one clean sheet in seven games. However, Egersund arrive in good form, with 3 wins in their last 5 league matches and 15 goals scored, giving them a strong chance of finding the net. Despite the visitors’ improved form, Strømsgodset’s superior attacking quality and highly favourable home statistics point to a 1 result.

Egersund have scored an average of 1.86 goals per game this season and have not once finished a match without scoring, which significantly reduces the likelihood of a goalless scenario for the visitors. Strømsgodset average 1.78 goals, while Egersund’s defence concedes as many as 2.71 goals per game and has kept a clean sheet in only 14% of matches. Both teams are also in an attacking rhythm: over their last five matches, they have averaged 2.4 and 3.0 goals respectively, with both teams scoring in 80% and 60% of those games. Their xG from the last five appearances stands at 1.97 for the hosts and 1.64 for the visitors, meaning both sides are regularly creating enough chances to score. Strømsgodset’s seasonal 22% BTTS rate and the hosts’ 56% clean-sheet rate suggest some caution, but current form and Egersund’s very weak defence provide stronger support for BTTS - Yes.

Strømsgodset score an average of 1.78 goals at home, while Egersund concede as many as 2.71 goals per away match, which clearly strengthens the hosts’ attacking potential. Egersund average 1.86 goals scored and exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 100% of their matches, although Strømsgodset kept a clean sheet in 56% of games. The recent results of both teams have been even more open: across their last five matches, Strømsgodset recorded an average of 4.6 total goals, while Egersund recorded 4.8, with 60% and 80% of matches respectively going Over 2.5 goals. The average xG from their last five appearances—1.97 for the hosts and 1.64 for the visitors—also supports a forecast of around 3.40 goals. Over 1.5 is the safest choice, as both teams regularly feature in high-scoring games, while only a 13% probability remains for a match with no more than two goals.

Strømsgodset have won 67% of their matches, averaging 1.78 goals scored and just 1.00 conceded at home, while Egersund have lost 71% of their away matches and allow opponents to score an average of 2.71 goals. The strongest Half-Time signal also favours the hosts: they were leading at the break in 56% of matches, whereas the visitors were trailing at half-time in as many as 71%; average first-half goals stand at 1.11 scored by Strømsgodset and 1.43 conceded by Egersund. The hosts kept a clean sheet in 56% of matches, compared with just 14% for the visitors, increasing the likelihood of an early lead being maintained until full time. However, Egersund’s recent form is clearly stronger, with an average of 3.0 goals scored and a 60% win rate across their last five matches, which is why a significant share of the probability is assigned to HT/FT outcomes involving a draw at half-time or an away win.