Stranraer vs Dumbarton: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Stranraer played Dumbarton in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Stranraer: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Dumbarton: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Stranraer scores 1.31 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Dumbarton scores 1.69 and concedes 1.94. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Stranraer 63%, Dumbarton 88%. Over 2.5: Stranraer 56%, Dumbarton 75%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Stranraer has higher xG: 1.15 vs 0.97. Stranraer: 8.6 shots per match, Dumbarton: 6.3.

Match halves

Stranraer: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50. Dumbarton: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81.

Goals by minute

Stranraer: 31-45+ (7 goals). Dumbarton: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
StranraerDumbarton
7Shots9
StranraerDumbarton
3Shots on target3
StranraerDumbarton
1.06xG1.24
StranraerDumbarton
2Corners10
StranraerDumbarton
55Dangerous attacks63
StranraerDumbarton
12Fouls7
StranraerDumbarton
2Cards0
StranraerDumbarton

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

StranraerDumbarton
1.31Goals scored / match1.69
StranraerDumbarton
1.31Goals conceded / match1.94
StranraerDumbarton
48%Average possession48%
StranraerDumbarton
4.19Shots on target / match3.19
StranraerDumbarton

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.56Shots per match6.25
StranraerDumbarton
4.19Shots on target3.19
StranraerDumbarton
15.3%Shot conversion27%
StranraerDumbarton
48%Possession48%
StranraerDumbarton
1.15xG for0.97
StranraerDumbarton
1.38xG against1.38
StranraerDumbarton

Shooting quality

Stranraer: Efficient finishingDumbarton: Efficient finishing
StranraerDumbarton
Accuracy (shots on target)49%51%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.53

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Stranraer is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Stranraer · 1.2 pts / match - Dumbarton

Stranraer
DLWWW
Season result split
38% W19% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-7
1.31 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Dumbarton
WLLLW
Season result split
38% W19% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-7
1.31 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-3
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DDLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.84Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dumbarton is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.31 goals / match - Stranraer · 1.69 goals / match - Dumbarton

Stranraer is 48% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.31 goals / match - Stranraer · 1.94 goals / match - Dumbarton

Stranraer scoring profile: very strong

Stranraer scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).

Dumbarton scoring profile: very strong

Dumbarton scores in 94% of matches (15 of 16 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).

21Goals scored (season)27
StranraerDumbarton
21Goals conceded (season)31
StranraerDumbarton
2.63Average goals in match3.63
StranraerDumbarton
10Goals scored (last 5)8
StranraerDumbarton
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
StranraerDumbarton

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal94%
StranraerDumbarton
38%2 goals50%
StranraerDumbarton
19%3 goals19%
StranraerDumbarton
6%4 goals6%
StranraerDumbarton

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal94%
StranraerDumbarton
31%2 goals63%
StranraerDumbarton
13%3 goals25%
StranraerDumbarton
0%4 goals13%
StranraerDumbarton

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

66%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time38%
StranraerDumbarton
0%BTTS in both halves6%
StranraerDumbarton
25%Scored in both halves25%
StranraerDumbarton

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS75%
StranraerDumbarton
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
StranraerDumbarton
60%BTTS - last 560%
StranraerDumbarton

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time94%
StranraerDumbarton
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time69%
StranraerDumbarton
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time31%
StranraerDumbarton

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
StranraerDumbarton
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
StranraerDumbarton
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
StranraerDumbarton

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Stranraer is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / match - Stranraer · 1.13 pts / match - Dumbarton

Stranraer - half-time state
38% leading50% draw13% trailing
Dumbarton - half-time state
31% leading19% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per match (1st half)1.13
StranraerDumbarton
0.81Goals scored (1st half)0.88
StranraerDumbarton
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)1.13
StranraerDumbarton
1.13Average goals (1st half)2
StranraerDumbarton
69%Clean sheet before half-time31%
StranraerDumbarton
56%No goal before half-time38%
StranraerDumbarton

After half-time (2nd half)

0.69Points per match (2nd half)1.31
StranraerDumbarton
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
StranraerDumbarton
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.81
StranraerDumbarton
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.63
StranraerDumbarton
31%Clean sheet after half-time44%
StranraerDumbarton
50%No goal after half-time44%
StranraerDumbarton

Stranraer - second-half results

6% W50% R44% P
26
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dumbarton - second-half results

31% W38% R31% P
18
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Stranraer - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.60
Goals scored / match1.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.81.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+7-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 8
Dumbarton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Stranraer
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
7
4
31-45
4
4
46-60
1
6
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Dumbarton
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
4
3
16-30
6
10
31-45
4
7
46-60
5
2
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
76%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-4%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
65%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Stranraer

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
84%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Dumbarton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.72
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

StranraerLigaDumbarton
Average goals in match 2.632.98 3.63
Both teams scored 63%66% 88%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%57% 75%
Clean sheets 13%20% 6%
Goal before half-time 56%76% 94%
Goal after half-time 75%76% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / match
1.56
Away goals / match
+-10%
Home attack advantage
+-11%
Home defence advantage
+-4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. StranraerGoalMark RussellAssist: James Dolan
  2. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Scott TomlinsonOff: Chris Johnston
  3. StranraerYellow cardEvan Dunne
  4. StranraerSubstitutionOn: Bernard CollOff: Dom Plank
  5. StranraerYellow cardMatthew Gillies
  6. StranraerSubstitutionOn: Sean DochertyOff: James Dolan
  7. DumbartonSubstitutionOn: Cameron ClarkOff: Alistair Roy
  8. DumbartonGoalKai Kirkpatrick

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Gary HanvidgeMatches officiated: 13
4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 28%Home wins69%Draws23%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Stranraer 1 - 0 - 0 Dumbarton. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Dumbarton FC
1 : 2
Stranraer FC

FAQ

What was the result of Stranraer vs Dumbarton?

The League Two match finished Stranraer 1:1 Dumbarton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Stranraer vs Dumbarton?

Stranraer score 1.31 goals per game on average and Dumbarton 1.69. The League Two average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Stranraer's matches and 88% of Dumbarton's.

What form are Stranraer and Dumbarton in?

Over the last 5 games Stranraer have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Dumbarton 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stranraer vs Dumbarton?

The statistical background for Stranraer vs Dumbarton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.