Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiß Linz: match statistics
Sturm Graz are displaying significantly better form and statistics than Blau-Weiß Linz, supporting a home win. The hosts have won 33% of their home matches and hold an advantage in average xG (1.68 vs 1.04), indicating superior quality of chances created. Blau-Weiß Linz perform very poorly on the road with just 11% wins and as many as 78% losses, failing to score in 56% of their away matches. Furthermore, the visitors have a negative goal difference (-11) in away fixtures and average only 0.56 goals per away game. Although Sturm Graz lost their last match, their overall home statistics and substantial advantage over the recently lower-table opponent make them clear favorites for this encounter.
Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiß Linz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sturm Graz played Blau-Weiß Linz in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sturm Graz: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Blau-Weiß Linz: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sturm Graz scores 1.47 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Blau-Weiß Linz scores 0.89 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sturm Graz 53%, Blau-Weiß Linz 37%. Over 2.5: Sturm Graz 53%, Blau-Weiß Linz 42%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.18. Sturm Graz: 14.6 shots per match, Blau-Weiß Linz: 11.0.
Match halves
Sturm Graz: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.79. Blau-Weiß Linz: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Sturm Graz: 76-90+ (7 goals). Blau-Weiß Linz: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Sturm Graz are displaying significantly better form and statistics than Blau-Weiß Linz, supporting a home win. The hosts have won 33% of their home matches and hold an advantage in average xG (1.68 vs 1.04), indicating superior quality of chances created. Blau-Weiß Linz perform very poorly on the road with just 11% wins and as many as 78% losses, failing to score in 56% of their away matches. Furthermore, the visitors have a negative goal difference (-11) in away fixtures and average only 0.56 goals per away game. Although Sturm Graz lost their last match, their overall home statistics and substantial advantage over the recently lower-table opponent make them clear favorites for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sturm Graz | Blau-Weiß Linz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sturm Graz is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 0.8 pts / match - Blau-Weiß Linz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 0.89 goals / match - Blau-Weiß Linz
Sturm Graz is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 1.63 goals / match - Blau-Weiß Linz
Sturm Graz scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Blau-Weiß Linz keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
Blau-Weiß Linz scores in 53% of matches (10 of 19 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
Over / Under - Blau-Weiß Linz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sturm Graz is 72% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 0.89 pts / match - Blau-Weiß Linz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Blau-Weiß Linz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sturm Graz
Blau-Weiß Linz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Sturm Graz | Liga | Blau-Weiß Linz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.63 | ▼ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 55% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 52% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 25% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 74% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sturm Graz 1 - 0 - 0 Blau-Weiß Linz. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiß Linz?
The Bundesliga match finished Sturm Graz 1:0 Blau-Weiß Linz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiß Linz?
Sturm Graz score 1.47 goals per game on average and Blau-Weiß Linz 0.89. The Bundesliga average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Sturm Graz's matches and 37% of Blau-Weiß Linz's.
What form are Sturm Graz and Blau-Weiß Linz in?
Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Blau-Weiß Linz 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiß Linz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs Blau-Weiß Linz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.