Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sturm Graz played Grazer AK in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 7 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Sturm Graz: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Grazer AK: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sturm Graz scores 1.60 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Grazer AK scores 1.00 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.74 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sturm Graz 53%, Grazer AK 60%. Over 2.5: Sturm Graz 53%, Grazer AK 60%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

xG, shots and style

Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.01. Sturm Graz: 15.7 shots per match, Grazer AK: 9.1.

Match halves

Sturm Graz: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.87. Grazer AK: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Sturm Graz: 31-45+ (6 goals). Grazer AK: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 55%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
15Shots8
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
6Shots on target2
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.81xG0.84
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
8Corners5
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
61Dangerous attacks25
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
17Fouls12
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
2Cards1
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.6Goals scored / match1
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.27Goals conceded / match1.67
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
56%Average possession44%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
4.93Shots on target / match2.73
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.67Shots per match9.13
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
4.93Shots on target2.73
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
10.2%Shot conversion10.9%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
56%Possession44%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.78xG for1.01
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.4xG against1.38
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Shooting quality

Sturm Graz: DominantGrazer AK: Balanced
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Grazer AK is 125% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 1.8 pts / match - Grazer AK

Sturm Graz
LDLWL
Season result split
53% W7% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-6
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
WLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Grazer AK
LWLWW
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-6-6
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sturm Graz is 60% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 1 goals / match - Grazer AK

Sturm Graz is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.27 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 1.67 goals / match - Grazer AK

Sturm Graz scoring profile: very strong

Sturm Graz scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Grazer AK keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).

Grazer AK scoring profile: mixed

Grazer AK scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

24Goals scored (season)15
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
19Goals conceded (season)25
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
2.87Average goals in match2.67
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
5Goals scored (last 5)9
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal60%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
40%2 goals27%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
20%3 goals13%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
7%4 goals0%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal87%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
40%2 goals40%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
27%3 goals27%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0%4 goals7%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time27%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
7%BTTS in both halves7%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
20%Scored in both halves20%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
80%BTTS - last 580%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sturm Graz is 119% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.6 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 0.73 pts / match - Grazer AK

Sturm Graz - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing
Grazer AK - half-time state
7% leading53% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.6Points per match (1st half)0.73
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.07
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
67%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
47%No goal before half-time67%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1.33
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0.87Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.93
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
1.6Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
60%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK
40%No goal after half-time53%
Sturm GrazGrazer AK

Sturm Graz - second-half results

47% W27% D27% L
24
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Grazer AK - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding286%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Sturm Graz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.4
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Grazer AK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sturm Graz
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
1
5
16-30
6
1
31-45
4
2
46-60
3
8
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Grazer AK
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
4
16-30
2
6
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sturm Graz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.13
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.87
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Grazer AK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
123%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.80
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Sturm GrazLigaGrazer AK
Average goals in match 2.872.74 2.67
Both teams scored 53%55% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%55% 60%
Clean sheets 40%25% 13%
Goal before half-time 67%75% 73%
Goal after half-time 80%80% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.74
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.36
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+-1%
Home attack advantage
+-1%
Home defence advantage
+-4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Sturm GrazGoalJeyland MitchellAssist: Tomi Horvat
  2. Sturm GrazSubstitutionOn: Seedy JattaOff: Leon Grgic
  3. Sturm GrazGoalMaurice MaloneAssist: Filip Kucharczyk
  4. Grazer AKSubstitutionOn: Dominik FrieserOff: Thorsten Schriebl
  5. Grazer AKYellow cardTobias Koch
  6. Sturm GrazSubstitutionOn: Jacob Peter HödlOff: Filip Kucharczyk
  7. Sturm GrazSubstitutionOn: Tochi Phil ChukwuaniOff: Jon Gorenc Stankovič
  8. Sturm GrazYellow cardMaurice Malone
  9. Sturm GrazSubstitutionOn: Gabriel HaiderOff: Jeyland Mitchell
  10. Sturm GrazSubstitutionOn: Axel KayomboOff: Maurice Malone
  11. Grazer AKSubstitutionOn: Christian LichtenbergerOff: Sadik Fofana
  12. Sturm GrazYellow cardTochi Phil Chukwuani

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Julian WeinbergerMatches officiated: 13
4.15Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 238%Home wins38%Draws23%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Sturm Graz 1 - 0 - 0 Grazer AK. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Liebherr Grazer AK
0 : 3
SK Sturm Graz

FAQ

What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

The Bundesliga match finished Sturm Graz 2:1 Grazer AK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

Sturm Graz score 1.60 goals per game on average and Grazer AK 1.00. The Bundesliga average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Sturm Graz's matches and 60% of Grazer AK's.

What form are Sturm Graz and Grazer AK in?

Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Grazer AK 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.