Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz: match statistics
Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sturm Graz played LASK Linz in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 13 September 2026. Venue: Merkur Arena. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Sturm Graz: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. LASK Linz: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sturm Graz scores 1.20 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. LASK Linz scores 3.00 and concedes 0.40. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sturm Graz 60%, LASK Linz 40%. Over 2.5: Sturm Graz 20%, LASK Linz 80%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
LASK Linz has higher xG: 2.40 vs 1.84. Sturm Graz: 17.0 shots per match, LASK Linz: 21.0.
Match halves
Sturm Graz: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80. LASK Linz: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.60.
Goals by minute
Sturm Graz: 61-75 (2 goals). LASK Linz: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
LASK Linz lead the table after a perfect run of 5 wins, while Sturm Graz have a season record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat. The visitors are clearly more clinical, scoring 15 goals in 5 matches and as many as 17 in their last five, compared with Sturm’s 7. Away from home, LASK generate an average of 2.55 xG and record 6.5 shots on target per match, compared with the hosts’ 1.68 xG and 3 shots on target at home. Both teams concede an average of 0.5 goals at home, but LASK allow opponents just 0.72 xG, while Sturm concede 1.53. The hosts remain unbeaten at home, but LASK’s 100% away win record and their advantage in the quality of chances created point to a greater likelihood of an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for both teams to score is LASK’s current attacking form: the team has averaged 3.4 goals in its last 5 matches, alongside a very high xG of 2.71. Over the same period, Sturm conceded 1.2 goals per game, while its average xG conceded to opponents was 1.41, increasing the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts should also avoid a blank, having generated an xG of 1.75 in their last 5 matches, while LASK allowed an average of 1.08 xG and conceded 0.8 goals. Both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five matches, although their high season clean-sheet rates—67% for Sturm and 50% for LASK—limit the edge for the BTTS - Yes market.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
LASK are in excellent attacking form: they have scored an average of 3.4 goals in their last 5 matches, while their average xG has been as high as 2.71. Sturm have averaged 1.4 goals per game during this period, but have allowed opponents to record 1.41 xG, giving the visitors a realistic basis for creating numerous chances. Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal threshold in 100% of their matches so far this season, while LASK have seen over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 5 appearances. Although LASK’s defence has conceded just 0.8 goals per game recently, Sturm have generated 1.75 xG, so the hosts should contribute to the scoreline. The strongest selection is Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.25 goals is well above this line, while the risk of the match ending with no more than one goal is limited.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a LASK victory, as the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Sturm have won only 2 of 5. During this run, LASK have averaged 3.4 goals per match and scored 2.0 goals after the break, clearly more than Sturm, who have recorded averages of 1.4 and 1.0 respectively. In the first halves of their last five matches, Sturm scored just 0.4 goals on average and were level at the break in 40% of cases, increasing the likelihood of a draw after 45 minutes. The visitors also have a positive first-half goal difference of +4, compared with -1 for the hosts, despite Sturm having started the season with 3 home wins. LASK’s advantage in current form, particularly after half-time, points to them taking control and securing a full-time victory after an evenly contested first half.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sturm Graz | LASK Linz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
LASK Linz is 88% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 3 pts / match - LASK Linz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
LASK Linz is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 3 goals / match - LASK Linz
LASK Linz is 150% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 0.4 goals / match - LASK Linz
Sturm Graz scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while LASK Linz keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
LASK Linz scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
Over / Under - LASK Linz
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
LASK Linz is 233% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 2 pts / match - LASK Linz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
LASK Linz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sturm Graz
LASK Linz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Sturm Graz | Liga | LASK Linz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 24% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Sturm Graz 1 - 2 - 1 LASK Linz. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
The Bundesliga match finished Sturm Graz 2:1 LASK Linz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and LASK Linz?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz won 1, LASK Linz won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
Sturm Graz score 1.20 goals per game on average and LASK Linz 3.00. The Bundesliga average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Sturm Graz's matches and 40% of LASK Linz's.
What form are Sturm Graz and LASK Linz in?
Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and LASK Linz 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


