Sturm Graz vs Ried: match statistics
Ried is displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2.4 points per game compared to Sturm Graz's mere 0.6 points. The hosts are in a crisis with four defeats in their last five games and only a 25% home win rate this season. Ried, meanwhile, boasts a 50% away win rate and an impressive run of four victories in their last five matches. Despite Sturm Graz's possession advantage (60%), their home shot conversion rate is low (7%), while Ried has twice the chance conversion rate (13%). The hosts' home goal difference stands at -6, further highlighting their struggles, whereas the visitors have only -1 on the road. Taking all these factors into account, Ried has a realistic chance of securing all three points in this encounter.
Sturm Graz vs Ried: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sturm Graz played Ried in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Sturm Graz: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ried: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sturm Graz scores 1.59 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Ried scores 1.35 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sturm Graz 59%, Ried 47%. Over 2.5: Sturm Graz 59%, Ried 53%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.41. Sturm Graz: 15.5 shots per match, Ried: 12.8.
Match halves
Sturm Graz: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.82. Ried: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Sturm Graz: 0-15 (6 goals). Ried: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ried is displaying significantly better form in their last five matches, averaging 2.4 points per game compared to Sturm Graz's mere 0.6 points. The hosts are in a crisis with four defeats in their last five games and only a 25% home win rate this season. Ried, meanwhile, boasts a 50% away win rate and an impressive run of four victories in their last five matches. Despite Sturm Graz's possession advantage (60%), their home shot conversion rate is low (7%), while Ried has twice the chance conversion rate (13%). The hosts' home goal difference stands at -6, further highlighting their struggles, whereas the visitors have only -1 on the road. Taking all these factors into account, Ried has a realistic chance of securing all three points in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sturm Graz | Ried | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ried is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 2.4 pts / match - Ried
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sturm Graz is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.59 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 1.35 goals / match - Ried
Sturm Graz scores in 94% of matches (16 of 17 matches), while Ried keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Ried scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
Over / Under - Ried
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sturm Graz is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 1.12 pts / match - Ried
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ried - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sturm Graz
Ried
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Sturm Graz | Liga | Ried | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.72 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 24% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Sturm Graz 1 - 0 - 0 Ried. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Ried?
The Bundesliga match finished Sturm Graz 1:0 Ried. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Sturm Graz score 1.59 goals per game on average and Ried 1.35. The Bundesliga average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Sturm Graz's matches and 47% of Ried's.
What form are Sturm Graz and Ried in?
Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ried 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Ried?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs Ried: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.