Sturm Graz vs Salzburg: match statistics
Salzburg displays a significantly better away form with a 45% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+8) on the road, while Sturm Graz has only a 45% win rate at home with a negative goal difference (-2). The visitors score an average of 1.82 goals per away match compared to 1.09 for the hosts in home games, which, given similar xG values (1.68 vs 1.65), indicates Salzburg's greater efficiency. Salzburg's possession at 61% in away matches exceeds Sturm Graz's 56% at home, suggesting control of the game by the visitors. The recent form of both teams also favors Salzburg – the hosts have averaged 2 points per match over their last 5 games, while the visitors only 0.8, but their higher shooting accuracy (13% shot conversion compared to the hosts' 8%) and better away defense (1.09 goals conceded versus 1.27 for the hosts) give them an edge. Considering all statistics, Salzburg has a genuine chance of victory, although the slight difference in quality between both teams makes this match a balanced one.
Sturm Graz vs Salzburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Sturm Graz played Salzburg in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Sturm Graz: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Salzburg: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Sturm Graz scores 1.65 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Salzburg scores 1.83 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Sturm Graz 52%, Salzburg 61%. Over 2.5: Sturm Graz 52%, Salzburg 61%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Salzburg has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.69. Sturm Graz: 15.0 shots per match, Salzburg: 16.4.
Match halves
Sturm Graz: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.96. Salzburg: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Sturm Graz: 31-45+ (8 goals). Salzburg: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Salzburg displays a significantly better away form with a 45% win rate and an impressive goal difference (+8) on the road, while Sturm Graz has only a 45% win rate at home with a negative goal difference (-2). The visitors score an average of 1.82 goals per away match compared to 1.09 for the hosts in home games, which, given similar xG values (1.68 vs 1.65), indicates Salzburg's greater efficiency. Salzburg's possession at 61% in away matches exceeds Sturm Graz's 56% at home, suggesting control of the game by the visitors. The recent form of both teams also favors Salzburg – the hosts have averaged 2 points per match over their last 5 games, while the visitors only 0.8, but their higher shooting accuracy (13% shot conversion compared to the hosts' 8%) and better away defense (1.09 goals conceded versus 1.27 for the hosts) give them an edge. Considering all statistics, Salzburg has a genuine chance of victory, although the slight difference in quality between both teams makes this match a balanced one.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Sturm Graz | Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sturm Graz is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 1 pts / match - Salzburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Salzburg is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 1.83 goals / match - Salzburg
Sturm Graz scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Salzburg keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Salzburg scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Sturm Graz
Over / Under - Salzburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Sturm Graz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Salzburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Sturm Graz
Salzburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Sturm Graz | Liga | Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.87 | 2.64 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 52% | 51% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Sturm Graz 1 - 1 - 0 Salzburg. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Salzburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Sturm Graz 1:1 Salzburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Sturm Graz and Salzburg?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz won 1, Salzburg won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Salzburg?
Sturm Graz score 1.65 goals per game on average and Salzburg 1.83. The Bundesliga average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Sturm Graz's matches and 61% of Salzburg's.
What form are Sturm Graz and Salzburg in?
Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Salzburg 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Salzburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Sturm Graz vs Salzburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.