Sturm Graz vs Wattens: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Sturm Graz play Wattens in Bundesliga (Austria). The match date is 3 December 2025 at 20:30. Final score: 1:3.

Current form

Sturm Graz: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Wattens: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Sturm Graz scores 1.59 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Wattens scores 1.25 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.70 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Sturm Graz 56%, Wattens 59%. Over 2.5: Sturm Graz 41%, Wattens 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Sturm Graz has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.27. Sturm Graz: 15.7 shots per match, Wattens: 11.7.

Match halves

Sturm Graz: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.91. Wattens: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.69.

Goals by minute

Sturm Graz: 76-90+ (14 goals). Wattens: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Bundesliga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

52Possession (%)48
Sturm GrazWattens
7Shots23
Sturm GrazWattens
3Shots on target9
Sturm GrazWattens
0.96xG2.43
Sturm GrazWattens
5Corners4
Sturm GrazWattens
41Dangerous attacks48
Sturm GrazWattens
13Fouls15
Sturm GrazWattens
3Cards4
Sturm GrazWattens

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.59Goals scored / match1.25
Sturm GrazWattens
1.09Goals conceded / match1.63
Sturm GrazWattens
54%Average possession44%
Sturm GrazWattens
4.81Shots on target / match3.78
Sturm GrazWattens

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.69Shots per match11.72
Sturm GrazWattens
4.81Shots on target3.78
Sturm GrazWattens
10.2%Shot conversion10.7%
Sturm GrazWattens
54%Possession44%
Sturm GrazWattens
1.71xG for1.27
Sturm GrazWattens
1.33xG against1.25
Sturm GrazWattens

Shooting quality

Sturm Graz: AttackingWattens: Balanced
Sturm GrazWattens
Accuracy (shots on target)31%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Sturm Graz is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 1 pts / match - Wattens

Sturm Graz
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W25% R25% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-8-8
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-5-5
Last 5 at home
1-4-0
DDDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%
Wattens
DWLDL
Season result split
31% W31% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-10-12
1.25 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-8
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sturm Graz is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.59 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 1.25 goals / match - Wattens

Sturm Graz is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.09 goals / match - Sturm Graz · 1.63 goals / match - Wattens

Sturm Graz scoring profile: very strong

Sturm Graz scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Wattens keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).

Wattens scoring profile: strong

Wattens scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Sturm Graz keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).

51Goals scored (season)40
Sturm GrazWattens
35Goals conceded (season)52
Sturm GrazWattens
2.69Average goals in match2.88
Sturm GrazWattens
9Goals scored (last 5)2
Sturm GrazWattens
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Sturm GrazWattens

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal72%
Sturm GrazWattens
41%2 goals31%
Sturm GrazWattens
16%3 goals19%
Sturm GrazWattens
9%4 goals3%
Sturm GrazWattens

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal78%
Sturm GrazWattens
31%2 goals47%
Sturm GrazWattens
16%3 goals19%
Sturm GrazWattens
0%4 goals13%
Sturm GrazWattens

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time19%
Sturm GrazWattens
9%BTTS in both halves3%
Sturm GrazWattens
22%Scored in both halves16%
Sturm GrazWattens

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
Sturm GrazWattens
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Sturm GrazWattens
80%BTTS - last 520%
Sturm GrazWattens

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Sturm GrazWattens
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Sturm GrazWattens
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Sturm GrazWattens

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Sturm GrazWattens
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
Sturm GrazWattens
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
Sturm GrazWattens

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sturm Graz is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.56 pts / match - Sturm Graz · 1 pts / match - Wattens

Sturm Graz - half-time state
38% leading44% draw19% trailing
Wattens - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.56Points per match (1st half)1
Sturm GrazWattens
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Sturm GrazWattens
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
Sturm GrazWattens
1.16Average goals (1st half)1.44
Sturm GrazWattens
66%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Sturm GrazWattens
50%No goal before half-time59%
Sturm GrazWattens

After half-time (2nd half)

1.66Points per match (2nd half)1.16
Sturm GrazWattens
0.91Goals scored (2nd half)0.69
Sturm GrazWattens
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.75
Sturm GrazWattens
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.44
Sturm GrazWattens
53%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Sturm GrazWattens
38%No goal after half-time53%
Sturm GrazWattens

Sturm Graz - second-half results

44% W34% R22% P
50
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.56
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Wattens - second-half results

28% W31% R41% P
32
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sturm Graz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Wattens - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Sturm Graz
ScoredConceded
11
4
0-15
2
8
16-30
9
3
31-45
8
6
46-60
7
9
61-75
14
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Wattens
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
5
6
16-30
8
13
31-45
5
7
46-60
7
10
61-75
10
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
58%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-64%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Sturm Graz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.05
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Wattens

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.40
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

Sturm GrazLigaWattens
Average goals in match 2.692.70 2.88
Both teams scored 56%55% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%51% 50%
Clean sheets 38%25% 22%
Goal before half-time 63%74% 81%
Goal after half-time 81%78% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.70
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.44
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+13%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Sturm Graz 0 - 0 - 1 Wattens. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Sturm Graz vs Wattens?

The Bundesliga match finished Sturm Graz 1:3 Wattens. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Sturm Graz vs Wattens?

Sturm Graz score 1.59 goals per game on average and Wattens 1.25. The Bundesliga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Sturm Graz's matches and 59% of Wattens's.

What form are Sturm Graz and Wattens in?

Over the last 5 games Sturm Graz have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Wattens 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Sturm Graz vs Wattens?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.