Stuttgart II vs Jahn Regensburg: match statistics
Stuttgart II vs Jahn Regensburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stuttgart II played Jahn Regensburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Stuttgart II: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Jahn Regensburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stuttgart II scores 1.20 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. Jahn Regensburg scores 1.40 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.15 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stuttgart II 63%, Jahn Regensburg 47%. Over 2.5: Stuttgart II 67%, Jahn Regensburg 53%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Stuttgart II has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.53. Stuttgart II: 13.5 shots per match, Jahn Regensburg: 12.5.
Match halves
Stuttgart II: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.57. Jahn Regensburg: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Stuttgart II: 16-30 (10 goals). Jahn Regensburg: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.15 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stuttgart II have the home advantage: at home they win 50% of matches, average 1.36 goals per game and xG 1.6, while Jahn Regensburg win only 27% of away matches and score 1.13 goals on average with xG 1.57. Hosts also record more shots on target (avg. 5 vs 4) and higher possession (55% vs 46%), and the shot conversion rate is 10% for Stuttgart versus 8% for Regensburg, indicating better efficiency for the home side. Despite that, recent form favors the visitors: Jahn have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches, hold a 2-1-2 record and average 1.4 points per game in that period, whereas Stuttgart have scored only 4 goals, won 1 of 5 and average 0.6 points. Defensively the hosts’ edge is marginal — Stuttgart concede 1.36 goals at home with xG against 1.56, while Regensburg concede 1.53 goals away with xG against 1.70 and have a negative away goal difference (-6). In summary, the home record (50% wins, higher efficiency and possession) gives Stuttgart II a slight edge over Regensburg, therefore I indicate a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors the BTTS - Yes scenario: league-wide BTTS rate is 64% and BTTS occurred in 60% of the last 5 matches for both teams. Stuttgart II averages 1.67 goals scored and concedes 1.47 per match; Jahn Regensburg scores 1.13 and concedes 1.53. Their xG are 1.49 (Stuttgart) and 1.57 (Regensburg), with xG against 1.44 and 1.70 respectively, indicating both sides have realistic scoring opportunities. Additionally, Regensburg has only 13% clean sheets (Stuttgart 33%), and in the last 5 matches Stuttgart averaged 0.8 goals for and 1.8 conceded, while Regensburg averaged 1.6 for and 1.4 conceded, showing vulnerability to conceding. Stuttgart registers 5.27 shots on target per game at 15% conversion, Regensburg 4.0 shots on target at 8% conversion; combined with season totals of 36 and 42 goals scored and 49 and 45 conceded, this supports goal exchanges. Considering the 64% league rate, recent 60% BTTS form and xG/conceded above 1.4 for both teams, I tip BTTS - Yes with a probability of 65% vs 35% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model and historical data indicate a high-scoring game: expected xG for the home team is 1.60 (attacking xG average 1.49 vs opponents’ xG conceded 1.70), and expected xG for the away team is 1.50 (1.57 vs 1.44), totaling 3.10 expected goals. Stuttgart II have 93% of home matches over 1.5 goals, and Jahn Regensburg 80% on the road, while the league average is 3.13 goals per match — a strong signal for Over 1.5. Additionally, the home side averages 11.47 shots with 5.27 on target and a 15% conversion rate, whereas the visitors average 13.47 shots with 4.0 on target and an 8% conversion, which raises the likelihood of goals at both ends. Season Over 2.5 rates are 67% for the home team and 40% for the away team, with a league Over 2.5 rate of 64%, so Over 2.5 also has moderate value (approx. 66%). For these reasons the best and strongest line to play is Over 1.5 (highest probability ~92%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
In the last 5 matches Jahn Regensburg led at the break in 75% of games, while Stuttgart II led in 0% (75% vs 0%), indicating an away advantage in the first half. However, Stuttgart II is markedly more dangerous after the break: they scored 7 goals in 61–75' and 7 goals in 76–90' (14 goals after 60' in total) and have a second-half goals average of 1.2 versus 0.53 for Regensburg. On the season level the home side also has strengths — 1.67 goals per match and 1.6 points per match at home versus 1.13 goals and 1.0 point for the visitors, and a shot conversion rate of 15% vs 8%. Additionally, Stuttgart registers more shots on target (5.27 vs 4.0), which increases the probability of a turnaround after halftime. As a result, the strongest signal from the data is an away lead at the break and a home turnaround to win, therefore I select HT/FT 2/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stuttgart II | Jahn Regensburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Jahn Regensburg is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Stuttgart II · 1.6 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Jahn Regensburg is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Stuttgart II · 1.4 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg
Jahn Regensburg is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Stuttgart II · 1.5 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg
Stuttgart II scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Jahn Regensburg keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Jahn Regensburg scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Stuttgart II keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stuttgart II
Over / Under - Jahn Regensburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stuttgart II is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Stuttgart II · 1.27 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stuttgart II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jahn Regensburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stuttgart II
Jahn Regensburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Stuttgart II | Liga | Jahn Regensburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 3.15 | ▼ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 64% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 21% | ▲ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 76% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 83% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stuttgart II 0 - 0 - 1 Jahn Regensburg. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stuttgart II vs Jahn Regensburg?
The 3. Liga match finished Stuttgart II 3:1 Jahn Regensburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stuttgart II vs Jahn Regensburg?
Stuttgart II score 1.20 goals per game on average and Jahn Regensburg 1.40. The 3. Liga average is 3.15 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Stuttgart II's matches and 47% of Jahn Regensburg's.
What form are Stuttgart II and Jahn Regensburg in?
Over the last 5 games Stuttgart II have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Jahn Regensburg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stuttgart II vs Jahn Regensburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Stuttgart II vs Jahn Regensburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


