Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg: match statistics
MSV Duisburg is in 3rd place in the table and shows more solid overall form with a record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and only 3 losses. Stuttgart II, in 10th place, has a balanced goal difference (26:26) and displays instability, particularly in recent away matches (1.6 PPG). The visitors have better scoring efficiency away (1.5 goals per game) and an impressive 50% clean sheets in away matches, indicating a solid defense. Although Stuttgart II wins at home in 44% of cases, MSV Duisburg's form and their advantage in xG (1.4 vs 1.49 for the hosts) along with their higher table position favor the visitors. I expect a close match with a slight advantage for MSV Duisburg, although a draw is also likely.
Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stuttgart II played MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Stuttgart II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. MSV Duisburg: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stuttgart II scores 1.37 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 1.68 and concedes 1.16. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stuttgart II 68%, MSV Duisburg 68%. Over 2.5: Stuttgart II 63%, MSV Duisburg 68%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Stuttgart II: 13.2 shots per match, MSV Duisburg: 12.4.
Match halves
Stuttgart II: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Stuttgart II: 16-30 (7 goals). MSV Duisburg: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MSV Duisburg is in 3rd place in the table and shows more solid overall form with a record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and only 3 losses. Stuttgart II, in 10th place, has a balanced goal difference (26:26) and displays instability, particularly in recent away matches (1.6 PPG). The visitors have better scoring efficiency away (1.5 goals per game) and an impressive 50% clean sheets in away matches, indicating a solid defense. Although Stuttgart II wins at home in 44% of cases, MSV Duisburg's form and their advantage in xG (1.4 vs 1.49 for the hosts) along with their higher table position favor the visitors. I expect a close match with a slight advantage for MSV Duisburg, although a draw is also likely.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stuttgart II | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stuttgart II is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Stuttgart II · 1 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Stuttgart II · 1.68 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Stuttgart II · 1.16 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
Stuttgart II scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Stuttgart II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stuttgart II
Over / Under - MSV Duisburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stuttgart II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stuttgart II
MSV Duisburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Stuttgart II | Liga | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.74 | 3.14 | ▼ 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | • 84% | 84% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stuttgart II 0 - 0 - 1 MSV Duisburg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg?
The 3. Liga match finished Stuttgart II 0:4 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg?
Stuttgart II score 1.37 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 1.68. The 3. Liga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Stuttgart II's matches and 68% of MSV Duisburg's.
What form are Stuttgart II and MSV Duisburg in?
Over the last 5 games Stuttgart II have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg?
The statistical background for Stuttgart II vs MSV Duisburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.