Stuttgart II vs Viktoria Köln: match statistics

Stuttgart II opened the season with a 3:2 victory, while Viktoria Köln lost their opening match 2:5, which clearly favors the home side. In their last five matches, Stuttgart II scored as many as 17 goals—an average of 3.4 per game—compared with just 5 goals for Viktoria Köln. The visitors also have the weaker record over this period: 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats, while the hosts have won 2 of their 5 matches. Neither team’s defense inspires complete confidence, as Stuttgart II have conceded 15 goals recently, while Viktoria Köln have also allowed their opponents to score 11 times. The hosts’ attacking advantage and stronger start to the campaign point to a Stuttgart II win, although the number of goals they have conceded increases the visitors’ chances of finding the net.

Stuttgart II have recorded BTTS in 100% of their matches so far, while in their last five games they have averaged 3.4 goals scored and 3.0 conceded. Over the same run, Viktoria Köln averaged 1.0 goal scored, but the opposition's defence allowed opponents plenty of chances, strengthening the likelihood of the visitors finding the net. Stuttgart II's xG stands at 1.81, with 1.35 xG conceded, while Viktoria record 1.37 xG and allow opponents 1.34 xG. The visitors have seen BTTS in only 40% of their last five appearances, but they scored 5 goals and conceded 11, meaning their matches still provide grounds for a goal exchange. Another supporting factor is the league BTTS rate of 80% and the very high average of 4.4 goals per match, making BTTS - Yes the more likely outcome.

Stuttgart II have averaged 3.4 goals scored and 3.0 conceded over their last five matches, resulting in a very high average of 6.4 goals per game. Over the same period, Viktoria Köln scored 1.0 goal but allowed opponents 2.2, meaning the visitors’ defensive weaknesses should create clear opportunities for the hosts. Their attacking potential is supported by the xG figures: 1.81 for Stuttgart and 1.37 for Köln, with both teams conceding approximately 1.35 xG on average. Over 2.5 goals landed in 100% of Stuttgart’s last five matches, while the league has recorded at least three goals in as many as 90% of games. However, the strongest selection remains Over 1.5 goals, as the projected total of 3.10 goals provides a substantial safety margin even if finishing efficiency declines compared with recent results.

Stuttgart II have averaged 3.4 goals scored across their last five matches, while Viktoria Köln have conceded 2.2 goals per game over the same period. The visitors have failed to score before half-time in each of their last five appearances, while also going into the break trailing in 60% of those matches. The hosts have also struggled in the opening stages, but their average of 0.8 goals before half-time and 15 shots per game give them significantly greater attacking potential. After the break, Stuttgart II have posted a very strong average of 2.6 goals over their last five matches and won the second half in 60% of cases. The most likely scenario is therefore for the hosts to lead at the break and maintain their advantage until the final whistle: 1/1.