Stuttgart vs Freiburg: match statistics
Stuttgart demonstrates significantly better home form with a 67% win rate at home and an impressive streak of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. The hosts have a clear advantage in offensive statistics, averaging 1.44 goals per match with an xG of 1.68, while Freiburg in away matches scores only 1.3 goals on average with an xG of 1.23. A key factor is the visitors' poor away form – only 20% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8, which contrasts with Stuttgart's positive home goal difference of +2. Freiburg also struggles with inefficiency, failing to score in 40% of away matches, while Stuttgart keeps a clean sheet in 44% of home games. Considering all these factors, Stuttgart holds a clear advantage, although Freiburg's solid defense (30% clean sheets away) and their recent form (2 wins in the last 5 matches overall) could make the match more balanced than the home statistics suggest.
Stuttgart vs Freiburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Stuttgart played Freiburg in Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Stuttgart: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Freiburg: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Stuttgart scores 1.89 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Freiburg scores 1.63 and concedes 1.68. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Stuttgart 58%, Freiburg 68%. Over 2.5: Stuttgart 74%, Freiburg 68%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Stuttgart has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.44. Stuttgart: 15.4 shots per match, Freiburg: 12.9.
Match halves
Stuttgart: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.05. Freiburg: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Stuttgart: 76-90+ (10 goals). Freiburg: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stuttgart demonstrates significantly better home form with a 67% win rate at home and an impressive streak of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. The hosts have a clear advantage in offensive statistics, averaging 1.44 goals per match with an xG of 1.68, while Freiburg in away matches scores only 1.3 goals on average with an xG of 1.23. A key factor is the visitors' poor away form – only 20% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8, which contrasts with Stuttgart's positive home goal difference of +2. Freiburg also struggles with inefficiency, failing to score in 40% of away matches, while Stuttgart keeps a clean sheet in 44% of home games. Considering all these factors, Stuttgart holds a clear advantage, although Freiburg's solid defense (30% clean sheets away) and their recent form (2 wins in the last 5 matches overall) could make the match more balanced than the home statistics suggest.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Stuttgart | Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stuttgart is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Stuttgart · 2 pts / match - Freiburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stuttgart is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - Stuttgart · 1.63 goals / match - Freiburg
Stuttgart is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Stuttgart · 1.68 goals / match - Freiburg
Stuttgart scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Freiburg keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Freiburg scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Stuttgart keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Stuttgart
Over / Under - Freiburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stuttgart is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Stuttgart · 1.21 pts / match - Freiburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Stuttgart - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Freiburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Stuttgart
Freiburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Stuttgart | Liga | Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.26 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 63% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 82% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Stuttgart 0 - 0 - 1 Freiburg. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Stuttgart vs Freiburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Stuttgart 1:0 Freiburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Stuttgart vs Freiburg?
Stuttgart score 1.89 goals per game on average and Freiburg 1.63. The Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Stuttgart's matches and 68% of Freiburg's.
What form are Stuttgart and Freiburg in?
Over the last 5 games Stuttgart have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Freiburg 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Stuttgart vs Freiburg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.