Italy - Serie BStadio Marco DrusoData current as of 08 October 2026

Südtirol vs Ascoli: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Südtirol vs Ascoli: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Südtirol play Ascoli in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Marco Druso.

Current form

Südtirol: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Ascoli: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Südtirol scores 1.80 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Ascoli scores 1.40 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Südtirol 60%, Ascoli 60%. Over 2.5: Südtirol 20%, Ascoli 40%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Ascoli has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.00. Südtirol: 9.4 shots per match, Ascoli: 15.4.

Match halves

Südtirol: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.40. Ascoli: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.40.

Goals by minute

Südtirol: 76-90+ (4 goals). Ascoli: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.45)
(3.20)
(2.87)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.8Goals scored / match1.4
SüdtirolAscoli
0.6Goals conceded / match0.8
SüdtirolAscoli
50%Average possession62%
SüdtirolAscoli
3.2Shots on target / match4.8
SüdtirolAscoli

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.4Shots per match15.4
SüdtirolAscoli
3.2Shots on target4.8
SüdtirolAscoli
19.1%Shot conversion9.1%
SüdtirolAscoli
50%Possession62%
SüdtirolAscoli
1xG for1.64
SüdtirolAscoli
1.71xG against1.33
SüdtirolAscoli

Shooting quality

Südtirol: Efficient finishingAscoli: Dominant
SüdtirolAscoli
Accuracy (shots on target)34%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.560.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Südtirol is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Südtirol · 2 pts / match - Ascoli

Südtirol
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W40% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Ascoli
WDWLW
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Südtirol is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.8 goals / match - Südtirol · 1.4 goals / match - Ascoli

Südtirol is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.6 goals / match - Südtirol · 0.8 goals / match - Ascoli

Südtirol scoring profile: very strong

Südtirol scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Ascoli scoring profile: strong

Ascoli scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

9Goals scored (season)7
SüdtirolAscoli
3Goals conceded (season)4
SüdtirolAscoli
2.4Average goals in match2.2
SüdtirolAscoli
9Goals scored (last 5)7
SüdtirolAscoli
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
SüdtirolAscoli

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal80%
SüdtirolAscoli
40%2 goals40%
SüdtirolAscoli
20%3 goals20%
SüdtirolAscoli
20%4 goals0%
SüdtirolAscoli

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal80%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%2 goals0%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%3 goals0%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%4 goals0%
SüdtirolAscoli

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%BTTS in both halves0%
SüdtirolAscoli
20%Scored in both halves0%
SüdtirolAscoli

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
SüdtirolAscoli
60%BTTS - last 560%
SüdtirolAscoli

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

40%Min. 1 goal before half-time40%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
SüdtirolAscoli
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
SüdtirolAscoli

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
SüdtirolAscoli
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
SüdtirolAscoli
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
SüdtirolAscoli

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Südtirol is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.8 pts / match - Südtirol · 0.6 pts / match - Ascoli

Südtirol - half-time state
40% leading60% draw0% trailing
Ascoli - half-time state
0% leading60% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.8Points per match (1st half)0.6
SüdtirolAscoli
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0
SüdtirolAscoli
0Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
SüdtirolAscoli
0.4Average goals (1st half)0.4
SüdtirolAscoli
100%Clean sheet before half-time60%
SüdtirolAscoli
60%No goal before half-time100%
SüdtirolAscoli

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)2
SüdtirolAscoli
1.4Goals scored (2nd half)1.4
SüdtirolAscoli
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
SüdtirolAscoli
2Average goals (2nd half)1.8
SüdtirolAscoli
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
SüdtirolAscoli
20%No goal after half-time20%
SüdtirolAscoli

Südtirol - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ascoli - second-half results

60% W20% D20% L
3
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Südtirol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.42.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ascoli - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.00
Goals scored / match0.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal40%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%20%
Goal difference-2+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Südtirol
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ascoli
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Südtirol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.91
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.80
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
49%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Ascoli

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.4
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

SüdtirolLigaAscoli
Average goals in match▼ 2.402.64▼ 2.20
Both teams scored▼ 60%64%▼ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 20%54%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▲ 40%19%• 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 40%64%▼ 40%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%88%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.42
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Südtirol and Ascoli play?

Südtirol face Ascoli on 10 October 2026 in Serie B at Stadio Marco Druso. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Südtirol vs Ascoli?

Südtirol score 1.80 goals per game on average and Ascoli 1.40. The Serie B average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Südtirol's matches and 60% of Ascoli's.

What form are Südtirol and Ascoli in?

Over the last 5 games Südtirol have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Ascoli 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Südtirol vs Ascoli?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.