Südtirol vs Catanzaro: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Südtirol displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at home, and their last five matches feature an impressive run of three victories. Despite their higher league position (8th place), Catanzaro has a weaker away form with only a 30% win rate on the road and a negative goal difference (-2). A key factor is Catanzaro's advantage in possession (55% vs 40%) and better shooting accuracy (10% vs 9%), however, their recent away form (dddlwlwwll) raises doubts. Considering that both teams share an identical FTS% (40%) and similar average xG, I expect a hard-fought, tactical encounter ending in a share of the points.
Südtirol vs Catanzaro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Südtirol played Catanzaro in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Südtirol: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Catanzaro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Südtirol scores 1.05 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Catanzaro scores 1.29 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Südtirol 57%, Catanzaro 57%. Over 2.5: Südtirol 33%, Catanzaro 48%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Südtirol has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.35. Südtirol: 12.5 shots per match, Catanzaro: 12.8.
Match halves
Südtirol: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.43. Catanzaro: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Südtirol: 31-45+ (6 goals). Catanzaro: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most likely outcome. Südtirol displays solid home form with a 40% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3) at home, and their last five matches feature an impressive run of three victories. Despite their higher league position (8th place), Catanzaro has a weaker away form with only a 30% win rate on the road and a negative goal difference (-2). A key factor is Catanzaro's advantage in possession (55% vs 40%) and better shooting accuracy (10% vs 9%), however, their recent away form (dddlwlwwll) raises doubts. Considering that both teams share an identical FTS% (40%) and similar average xG, I expect a hard-fought, tactical encounter ending in a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Südtirol | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Südtirol is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Südtirol · 1.4 pts / match - Catanzaro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catanzaro is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Südtirol · 1.29 goals / match - Catanzaro
Südtirol is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Südtirol · 1.14 goals / match - Catanzaro
Südtirol scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Catanzaro keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Catanzaro scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Südtirol
Over / Under - Catanzaro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Südtirol is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Südtirol · 1 pts / match - Catanzaro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Catanzaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Südtirol
Catanzaro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Südtirol | Liga | Catanzaro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.10 | 2.45 | • 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Südtirol 0 - 1 - 0 Catanzaro. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Südtirol vs Catanzaro?
The Serie B match finished Südtirol 2:1 Catanzaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Südtirol vs Catanzaro?
Südtirol score 1.05 goals per game on average and Catanzaro 1.29. The Serie B average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Südtirol's matches and 57% of Catanzaro's.
What form are Südtirol and Catanzaro in?
Over the last 5 games Südtirol have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Catanzaro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Südtirol vs Catanzaro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Südtirol vs Catanzaro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.